NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefaa134030113196a4e5462f99f2ca74509c7fc614b61cbbc136ae2cd2a1e445
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 3,369$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 2,886$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.94 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 2,747$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.01 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd344…6862backed Over | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,057$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 888.39$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 747.8$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 697.4$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 496.64$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.25 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Under | 63c | 446.74$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 424.64$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.57 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 364.57$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 53c | 312.94$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 40c | 272.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 267.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 258.21$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 50c | 253.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 252.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 32c | 230.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 49c | 224.38$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 49c | 158$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Over | 50c | 146.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 47c | 142.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 46c | 110.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 98.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 91.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 56c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 50c | 88.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 67c | 82.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 63c | 71.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 68.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 66.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 44c | 53.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 47c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 48.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 39.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…d84abacked Under | 35c | 31.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dd…7a22backed Over | 62c | 30.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x356d…f8ecbacked Over | 66c | 27.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 54c | 25.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. HornetsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.