NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb346604784a01d0ec8935d84994d3779ffcdeebc65b7a6bf61380b950d5d8b8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Cavaliers, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $993,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,041,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $993,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers | 51c | 362,946$185,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,000.53 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets | 50c | 194,294$97,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,146.97 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 49c | 163,132$79,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,382.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets | 49c | 139,730$68,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,436.95 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hornets | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Cavaliers | 50c | 94,992$47,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,496 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 49,117$25,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,480.17 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Hornets | 52c | 48,086$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,085.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hornets | 50c | 46,000$23,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,960 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers | 51c | 38,368$19,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,523.44 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 31,832$15,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,915.54 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 25,173$12,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,583.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 24,688$12,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,344 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 23,702$11,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,588.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Cavaliers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Cavaliers | 43c | 17,154$7,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,372.3 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Hornets | 48c | 14,723$7,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,655.95 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Hornets | 50c | 13,074$6,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,598.24 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 12,548$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,289.36 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,456$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.5 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 8,712$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 8,560$4,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Hornets | 50c | 8,260$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 7,986$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Hornets | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Hornets | 46c | 6,447$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.35 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hornets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 57c | 5,871$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,643$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.05 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,631$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.49 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 5,606$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.8 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Hornets | 47c | 5,257$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.11 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Hornets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Hornets | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Cavaliers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,500$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hornets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets | 51c | 3,989$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.08 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…722ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,908$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 49c | 3,573$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98da…a9ebbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,186$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,880$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hornets | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Hornets | 51c | 1,965$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.9 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets | 46c | 1,814$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets | 49c | 1,593$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.41 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,580$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,560$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 48c | 1,494$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.02 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hornets | 57c | 1,485$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.52 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,434$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.9 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,415$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.07 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,380$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,320$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Hornets | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hornets | 55c | 1,150$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.91 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets | 49c | 1,149$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.75 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets | 49c | 1,056$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hornets | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.61 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Hornets | 50c | 1,008$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.19 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9e70backed Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Hornets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Hornets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hornets | 58c | 962.03$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.15 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hornets | 48c | 939.83$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…d35fbacked Hornets | 54c | 899.96$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.98 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Hornets | 52c | 899.42$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.72 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers | 34c | 868.41$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.73 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Cavaliers | 54c | 855.56$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e5…1f2fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 834.86$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Hornets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hornets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Cavaliers | 49c | 766.08$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.38 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hornets | 47c | 699.99$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Hornets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Cavaliers | 51c | 594.79$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Hornets | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 583$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Cavaliers | 49c | 570$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers | 49c | 527.4$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Cavaliers | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 508$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Hornets | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Hornets | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Hornets | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Hornets | 50c | 499.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Hornets | 51c | 467.32$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 455$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 455$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 447.2$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Hornets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Hornets | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets | 49c | 383$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.31 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. HornetsCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.