NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x673479f827e2227d3021b241e7d8c9a6246ea6b58f9b2a273e09c2c4e37d5ea8

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hornetsof Cavaliers, Hornets
Resolved: Feb 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $193,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $194,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,447 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers	47c	98,220$46,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,163.51	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets	53c	63,564$33,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,069.09	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets	53c	17,692$9,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,315.25	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Hornets	51c	13,050$6,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,394.35	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets	53c	11,556$6,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,456.15	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets	53c	10,376$5,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900.09	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Cavaliers	49c	10,212$5,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,004	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets	47c	8,775$4,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,627.21	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets	53c	5,577$2,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,621.2	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers	52c	4,500$2,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,325	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers	47c	3,525$1,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,666.96	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Hornets	52c	3,218$1,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,544.61	173	48.6%84 W · 89 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	54c	3,161$1,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,716.29	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Cavaliers	46c	3,017$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,379.91	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Hornets	54c	3,000$1,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,390	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	46c	2,717$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.29	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Cavaliers	49c	2,551$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets	54c	2,457$1,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,135.49	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Hornets	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.98	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Cavaliers	45c	1,762$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Cavaliers	46c	1,693$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Cavaliers	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	323	47.1%152 W · 171 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Cavaliers	54c	889.65$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.51	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Cavaliers	49c	877.61$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.03	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers	46c	813.13$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.43	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers	48c	638.31$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.41	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Hornets	51c	586.08$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.08	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers	47c	560$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.2	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers	47c	544.06$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.45	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers	49c	510.2$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Hornets	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Cavaliers	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers	47c	453.2$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.56	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Cavaliers	45c	450$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.5	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Cavaliers	54c	444$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.68	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Cavaliers	47c	425.52$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Hornets	33c	366.33$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.43	289	29.4%85 W · 204 L	-13.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers	66c	364.87$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.03	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked Hornets	55c	363.64$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.64	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+6.9wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Cavaliers	55c	360$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	217	43.8%95 W · 122 L	-14.2wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets	59c	336.73$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.44	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Hornets	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Cavaliers	46c	273.28$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.71	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Cavaliers	45c	260$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Cavaliers	40c	260$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hornets	52c	250.61$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.61	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d58cbacked Hornets	56c	214.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.29	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hornets	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Hornets	53c	199.99$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.95	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Hornets	55c	195.8$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.11	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Hornets	55c	180$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Cavaliers	56c	167.99$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.08	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Cavaliers	47c	167.22$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.99	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Cavaliers	46c	149.96$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.98	641	39%250 W · 391 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Cavaliers	50c	144$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-20.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Cavaliers	45c	139.68$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.86	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…0ec7backed Cavaliers	52c	135$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.75	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70f4…e2a5backed Cavaliers	47c	127.64$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Hornets	56c	123$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.12	126	42.1%53 W · 73 L	-11.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cavaliers	50c	118.23$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.73	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc285…e28fbacked Cavaliers	47c	118.15$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.74	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x350e…7528backed Cavaliers	52c	115.47$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	86	36%31 W · 55 L	-11.0wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Cavaliers	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…2a73backed Cavaliers	47c	107$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Cavaliers	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Hornets	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	263	39.5%104 W · 159 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets	55c	92.73$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.73	364	49.7%181 W · 183 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Hornets	54c	92.7$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.7	270	52.6%142 W · 128 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Cavaliers	54c	92.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	146	43.8%64 W · 82 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Hornets	53c	90.29$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.44	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Cavaliers	48c	82.14$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.43	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Hornets	54c	81.5$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers	50c	78$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Hornets	52c	74.17$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.46	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Hornets	53c	69.87$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.16	533	49.3%263 W · 270 L	-28.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Hornets	54c	63.23$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.09	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Hornets	30c	63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.1	268	24.6%66 W · 202 L	-14.9wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Cavaliers	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Cavaliers	48c	59.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Cavaliers	42c	59.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.07	244	9.4%23 W · 221 L	-27.5wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Hornets	53c	57.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.99	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets	53c	54.96$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.98	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Hornets	52c	53.85$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	905	60.8%550 W · 355 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Hornets	56c	53.57$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.57	332	49.7%165 W · 167 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Cavaliers	49c	53.56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.44	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers	48c	51.79$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cavaliers	55c	50.91$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…3ef9backed Hornets	37c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Hornets	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	100	69%69 W · 31 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers	55c	49.09$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Hornets	53c	48.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.02	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Hornets	51c	48$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	880	57.5%506 W · 374 L	+34.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Hornets	55c	47.27$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.27	112	50%56 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Hornets	42c	47.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.26	176	50%88 W · 88 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets	52c	47.08$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.6	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e0…132abacked Cavaliers	52c	45$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	136	39.7%54 W · 82 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Cavaliers	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	436	47.9%209 W · 227 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Hornets	54c	40.74$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.74	493	58.6%289 W · 204 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Hornets	54c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.4	372	53.5%199 W · 173 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. HornetsCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 236.5Under won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Assists O/U 8.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5No won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Jarrett Allen: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Jarrett Allen: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Hornets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event