TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,406,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,739,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,406,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets35c805,142$279,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279,451.9787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Hornets36c208,045$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,0003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Cavaliers65c200,054$130,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,914.3823257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cavaliers65c170,929$111,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,825.1892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked Cavaliers65c167,047$108,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,466.511637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers66c139,899$92,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,204.381,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets34c138,287$47,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,400.651844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers67c119,687$80,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,362.951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Cavaliers67c106,238$71,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,058.618944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Cavaliers67c67,916$45,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,708.9929650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers65c55,210$35,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,323.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Hornets31c52,710$16,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,502.8658740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets28c51,371$14,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,502.682,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers64c50,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets34c50,000$17,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,166.661,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cavaliers64c46,635$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,634.611,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers67c46,568$31,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,542.12,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers65c44,791$29,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,453.694,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers65c43,998$28,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,447.261,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd39…ddcfbacked Cavaliers65c39,295$25,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,753.25366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets20c38,707$7,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,759.741,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Hornets34c37,776$12,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,654.9615952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Cavaliers64c35,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,599.9920551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Cavaliers67c31,523$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,523.1310746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Hornets36c31,066$11,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,167.4220947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Hornets33c30,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.9819653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets32c27,582$8,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,904.71,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Hornets47c27,267$12,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,826.2117249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Hornets33c25,710$8,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,389.0636741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Cavaliers65c25,000$16,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,75019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Cavaliers64c25,000$16,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.9625753.7%138 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers64c21,273$13,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,749.015,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…d373backed Hornets36c20,022$7,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,207.922147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…181cbacked Cavaliers78c19,823$15,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,427.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets37c18,969$7,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,058.544,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Cavaliers73c17,620$12,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,716.456459.4%38 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Hornets35c15,780$5,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,523.14327.9%12 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Hornets36c15,023$5,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,408.285349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Hornets24c15,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Hornets35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25021951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Hornets33c14,090$4,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,677.9819957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed Hornets0c14,008$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176939.1%27 W · 42 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Cavaliers64c14,000$8,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04028643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Hornets32c13,597$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.4638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hornets33c13,075$4,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,314.8759347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Cavaliers65c12,756$8,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,464.650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Cavaliers67c12,661$8,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,132.7837557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Cavaliers67c10,729$7,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.11,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Hornets35c10,000$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.8231445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Hornets34c10,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Hornets35c10,000$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hornets36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Cavaliers66c9,750$6,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3159743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Hornets36c9,477$3,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,411.854351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets35c9,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Hornets34c8,913$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets28c8,901$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.013,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd915…1d54backed Cavaliers68c8,700$5,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.982965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe6e…ddf7backed Hornets32c8,698$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.23129%9 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Hornets47c8,620$4,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,019.5419136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Cavaliers79c8,575$6,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.849345.2%42 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets36c8,413$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Hornets26c8,366$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.471,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hornets35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8758…add7backed Hornets32c8,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5601233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets35c7,846$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,745.9439349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Cavaliers67c7,800$5,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.9952760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Hornets36c7,327$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.8426640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Hornets33c7,273$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Hornets33c7,200$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3769054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Cavaliers67c7,200$4,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.978640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Cavaliers68c7,155$4,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.611361.9%70 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Hornets35c7,000$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Cavaliers65c6,617$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.5829250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets30c6,321$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d60…649fbacked Hornets35c6,200$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1702343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7016…c6e8backed Cavaliers67c6,100$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5815…a7c8backed Cavaliers66c6,061$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Hornets35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Hornets34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04013249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fc…050cbacked Cavaliers66c6,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.978052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers64c5,986$3,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4989…8ff0backed Cavaliers65c5,969$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.066771.6%48 W · 19 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Hornets35c5,714$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7099…1c59backed Hornets6c5,587$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Cavaliers64c5,555$3,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.814753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Hornets23c5,485$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.3246940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hornets23c5,462$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.3261939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06b2…0c61backed Hornets0c5,067$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cavaliers68c5,056$3,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.0962144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Cavaliers65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7508944.9%40 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Hornets33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers66c5,000$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.9987750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Cavaliers68c4,983$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.5710046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Hornets35c4,969$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.8412547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Hornets22c4,811$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.772343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…627bbacked Cavaliers72c4,800$3,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.997651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c0…c7c0backed Cavaliers67c4,784$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.61030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Hornets36c4,696$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.5465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.