TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8d60…649f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Olympics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36,731.62
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,210
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,700
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,615Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,615
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+59.5%+$8,097.61
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$676.6
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$6,400
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$160
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,580Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$8,370
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,800Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$4,375.44
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,170
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$3,815.82
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,477.61
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+143.9%+$719.51
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$3,523.81
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$972.76
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+203%+$2,537.88
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
Commanders vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,600
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$780
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$710
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$195
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$470
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+80.3%+$445.61
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$360
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$366.67
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$920
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+290%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+290%+$945.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$3,128.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. Louisiana Techbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+152%+$304.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Canucksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.3%+$1,023.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,679Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,679
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.