TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$203,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4103…9b9ebacked No67c28,190$18,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,332.419242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No68c25,062$17,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,955.7915049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c21,714$6,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,096.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes33c20,011$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,700.0979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked Yes36c12,382$4,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,456.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes31c11,332$3,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,494.389450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes33c11,302$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,779.9231655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No66c8,953$5,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.923050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No65c8,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No67c7,000$4,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3109646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf537…f248backed Yes30c6,700$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…ae9fbacked No70c5,188$3,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,556.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x462c…2fa3backed Yes35c4,918$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes30c4,430$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.8227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No68c4,102$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.8456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8db…4e5bbacked No66c4,000$2,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Yes34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36031944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2943…177abacked No73c3,959$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3700…3c06backed No66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf17b…d0a7backed Yes35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes34c2,990$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.535652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No64c2,800$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0082941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d99…cb50backed Yes30c2,447$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes34c2,324$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.110455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No77c2,266$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.844454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be4…47c3backed No66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d3…8478backed Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6540…d055backed No65c1,662$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc31d…93f4backed Yes35c1,660$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x812c…3cd4backed No66c1,600$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5442100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked No66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4651,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32f…4f6cbacked Yes10c1,300$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes33c1,220$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.711,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes34c1,176$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Yes12c1,094$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.574339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34040640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7f…d00abacked Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a9…721fbacked No66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3106334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No72c922.69$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.1542043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed No66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.091560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe081…a4b1backed Yes35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes34c687.31$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5621353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Yes33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No74c588.93$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1230666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c578.89$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68c3…99c4backed Yes36c561.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes34c555.54$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2811828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d60…649fbacked Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes34c402.3$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1375637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes35c402.17$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7629238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed No74c389.23$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.28560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d9…c14fbacked Yes36c347.22$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes23c328.4$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.311,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e48…3e67backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No69c306$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.863718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.0wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.035246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10221839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked No65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10513656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes34c300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.56450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8474…0c67backed Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004727.7%13 W · 34 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked No68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019336.8%71 W · 122 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x797f…d4e0backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes34c278.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.791225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d64…1e9dbacked Yes36c277$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb7…5984backed Yes36c275$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No66c269$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4639561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes37c258.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.812733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes10c246.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.631305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed No66c240.85$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.892227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes35c231.77$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.129917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11f…c0f8backed No66c220$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6825339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb8…6bbbbacked No65c177.31$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3491…9f33backed Yes36c172.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked No67c164.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.374139%16 W · 25 L-8.8wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-42.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed No65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ff…1eb6backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.525450%27 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5213342.1%56 W · 77 L-13.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062564%16 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c59…ad51backed Yes34c146.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked No69c146.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.897451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes34c144.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204233.3%14 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8069…be50backed Yes35c120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405418.5%10 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Yes34c108.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.314845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed Yes12c108.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No66c107.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5815764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No67c107.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4629458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.