TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$508,314
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$614,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,314 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3cda…6e17backed No62c90,343$56,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,016.069450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6937…085dbacked Yes38c73,007$28,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,962.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4991…5ecdbacked Yes38c60,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c46,393$29,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,134.276,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No61c30,000$18,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,299.9920140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No62c29,125$18,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,065.2215049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c22,987$8,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,329.881,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes38c19,000$7,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,7806357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes39c16,469$6,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,966.5927235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No62c14,152$8,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,757.930851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes36c8,500$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,44035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No61c8,389$5,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,142.8731655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No63c7,829$4,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,932.7721154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes39c7,700$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700.181758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No60c7,561$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,559.935758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf70c…72c1backed Yes37c6,997$2,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.93944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No68c6,664$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,550.052941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No61c6,213$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.2579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes59c6,070$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,475.54454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes36c5,680$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,641.839917.2%17 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes34c5,649$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.0314544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes79c4,561$3,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.729450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a5…ecc9backed Yes39c4,500$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7451100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes38c4,306$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.122352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes36c4,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.9656453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83fb…97cfbacked Yes39c3,862$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.21241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No18c3,641$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.4341344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48b5backed No62c3,500$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1470…7cbebacked Yes39c3,469$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No57c3,447$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.1117958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No63c3,394$2,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,147.1321353.1%113 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No45c3,374$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.4851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No63c3,211$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.7211750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.74746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Yes37c2,702$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.994348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes38c2,666$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.661963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Yes39c2,587$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.183871.1%27 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Yes39c2,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes45c2,544$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.45646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba3b…9c54backed Yes39c2,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes38c2,500$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5506048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57550644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No61c2,426$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.731520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No63c2,123$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.371,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes38c2,049$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.3511828%33 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No61c2,020$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.7430149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6380…e74fbacked Yes44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e1…5a60backed No62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No61c1,922$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.1910357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes38c1,836$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.0320819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No61c1,732$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.586450%32 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No61c1,700$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.6242043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes37c1,600$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.9910333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes39c1,548$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.034447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.92653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes38c1,505$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.26540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0770backed No62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9154729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.8wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No38c1,462$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.116737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes39c1,404$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.121553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958c…4d8abacked Yes72c1,386$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes37c1,350$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No66c1,348$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8881643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc668…e830backed Yes46c1,308$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.87825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes64c1,302$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.724168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes36c1,120$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.9549254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Yes41c1,061$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.272634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes33c1,045$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.771040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes39c1,016$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.653330.3%10 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Yes38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6202744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No63c992.06$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6257035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes37c964.27$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.492634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Yes39c903.72$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.273240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked No61c900$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5494254.8%23 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes40c799.89$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.898348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd19e…fabbbacked No67c794.99$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.64922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.472352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc6c…2912backed No69c755.44$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Yes42c714.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.291060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+48.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes36c696.66$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.6210455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes38c657.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes38c655.74$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.5610445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c638.28$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.774,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No61c568.85$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes37c550$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+87.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x817f…45cdbacked Yes37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No63c539.68$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34016955.6%94 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.328137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes39c514.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.7727024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8b…1743backed Yes39c513.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.87771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No40c504$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.630666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes40c500.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.313842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31510751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.