TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9dd2…fec8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$165
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$156
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$15.8
Suns vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$295
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$232
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$227.56
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Wizards vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+32.6%+$32.56
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Kenny's Young Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$131.6
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+37%+$28.1
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$97.7
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Marino vs. Cyprus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Canada vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Chile win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Germany vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$340
Will Kazakhstan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$192.42
Will Brazil win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$659.95
Will Japan win on 2025-10-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+87.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+97.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
Will Lazio win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$409.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$343
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dallas win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.97
Will Orlando City SC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Redsbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,133.07
Marlins vs. Raysbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$484.89
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$570.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+605.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+605.8%+$1,715.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+144.1%+$144.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$267
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.