TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,177
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,177 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09ae…b883backed Yes34c16,171$5,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,706.752161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes37c7,999$2,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,047.991850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c7,631$4,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,921.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No67c7,500$5,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,049.974341.9%18 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No65c6,778$4,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,406.3812451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No67c6,185$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.618240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No66c5,984$3,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,970.1124647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed No67c4,520$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009.98366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9a1…6ae4backed Yes34c2,941$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes30c2,500$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.9923622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes32c1,925$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.152326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes36c1,800$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1528949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked No68c1,603$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.08850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.158940.4%36 W · 53 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No68c1,500$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.9516244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7900…c1e9backed No71c1,440$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b39…0d7ebacked No71c1,401$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd19f…202bbacked Yes32c1,401$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+354.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes34c1,366$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6c31backed Yes32c1,337$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+209.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd532…f70dbacked Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68a1…7c68backed Yes32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes32c923.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.252142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes29c897.52$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.248960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No62c809.5$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.938538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No68c754.14$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.93850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed No40c747.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked No68c660.44$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4254156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes32c574$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.8422634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes32c546.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.883148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No68c533$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.3914040.7%57 W · 83 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd2…fec8backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes31c459.3$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.927646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.557842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Yes34c441.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.181050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes31c385$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.659643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes35c333$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.4510629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.52544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes33c305.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7826…20b1backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb36a…f9d8backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68c…779dbacked Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.126650%33 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9342…6e58backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No64c277.78$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7831945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes33c243.58$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5810749.5%53 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9597…ed86backed Yes39c229.51$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes39c228$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.083852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes32c218.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.751838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No68c203.13$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1317345.7%79 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80fe…290cbacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.677350.7%37 W · 36 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes67c162.83$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3234630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No63c162.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.163259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked Yes37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes34c161.76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.763554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c161.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.091,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes34c147.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7110431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0d1…3800backed Yes34c147.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes38c132.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.634551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80a…02f1backed Yes38c130.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.031338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes40c128.6$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes32c118.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.756643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…0540backed Yes36c111.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes33c111.03$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.392630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Yes31c110$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.98042.5%34 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde98…bedfbacked Yes33c103.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+197.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a6…b9c7backed Yes34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d3…d153backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702420.8%5 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x851a…6c58backed Yes31c96.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.81850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.77540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.753345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb984…e881backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes35c93.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8712535.2%44 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No62c92.63$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4321016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fc7…5d7bbacked Yes33c92.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.04633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0964…e842backed Yes33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6912…c24ebacked Yes32c88$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8413125.2%33 W · 98 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes39c87.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.575244.2%23 W · 29 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e25…8e9bbacked Yes33c87.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.787972.2%57 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes31c83.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.871428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b32…8166backed Yes36c83.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.82771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8f0…b2efbacked Yes35c82.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d6…30babacked Yes41c80.51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes32c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.412327.6%34 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa615…1bd5backed Yes33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.761442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a3…837bbacked Yes33c71.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9819…c010backed Yes32c68.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.673053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+47.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.