TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b32…8166

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Jaume Munar vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Almaty Open: Adam Walton vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Ningbo Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Yue Yuanbacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$19.2
Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Rebecca Sramkovabacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
European Open: Marcos Giron vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.82
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Marin Cilic vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$44.6
European Open: Federico Cina vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$12.55
Ningbo Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
Almaty Open: Arthur Cazaux vs Shintaro Mochizukibacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.16
Japan Women's Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.84
European Open: Emil Ruusuvuori vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+55.4%+$108.12
Japan Women's Open: Suzan Lamens vs Emiliana Arangobacked Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Wuhan Tennis Open: Coco Gauff vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Wuhan Tennis Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+31.7%+$15.86
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Clara Tausonbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$63.33
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+128.7%+$153.89
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.66
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich finish first in UCL league phase?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.21
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$373
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+43.2%+$20.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.