TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes34c50,000$17,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,240.021233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c30,570$21,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,632.373,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No65c14,450$9,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,050.4524557.6%141 W · 104 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed Yes34c8,636$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No66c8,172$5,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,778.5133055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No66c7,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,38015947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Yes34c3,745$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,283.451631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes36c3,556$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.342259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+115.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No65c3,492$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.5627939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Yes35c2,858$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.350%0 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No67c2,828$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.362552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No65c1,525$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.774746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.542740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe16d…2cd5backed Yes38c1,289$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be5…384dbacked Yes34c1,242$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c1,220$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.122,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba9…afcebacked No64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b2…914ebacked Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28819027.4%52 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed No66c762.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.081283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked No67c675.36$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+144.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x777f…e89dbacked Yes15c645.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e92…f606backed Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb61b…1f96backed Yes34c562.59$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No65c539.06$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.8715151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014733.3%49 W · 98 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes34c482.35$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1644634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7227…0c0bbacked No67c459.24$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No66c337.97$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.914165.9%27 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9910539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No64c296.88$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.884240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffe9…395abacked Yes11c283.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-82.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No67c272$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.76757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No65c272$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3224655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf4b…0d78backed Yes16c248.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No65c234.28$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd79…7b2fbacked Yes38c194.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes38c190$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.42630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa4b6…6717backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96e4…f323backed Yes40c175.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes37c174.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x658f…f68bbacked Yes14c174.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes34c171$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.141526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-50.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6be7…8d02backed Yes18c164$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick34cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+81.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed No67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Yes15c146.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes34c146.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdf…83a0backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…5df3backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f18…5388backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-65%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed No65c129.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.581136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a0f…a1acbacked Yes17c126.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.711540%6 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+91.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x89de…9bc9backed Yes16c124.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes33c120.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.913327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed No67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.944854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.062958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x346e…1eb7backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No72c86.57$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2820042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe347…9ab4backed Yes38c83.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Yes34c72.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.62142.9%9 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+51.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No73c71.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.252254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No65c68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5823757%135 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes35c66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97a5…242dbacked Yes36c65.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes34c61.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No66c61.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b32…8166backed Yes34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+70.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0e4c…c962backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+147.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202441.7%10 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4a…dbb0backed Yes36c57.69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014352.4%75 W · 68 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf316…b391backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cd8…2ff0backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb78…cff7backed Yes36c56.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…7732backed Yes37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf76f…d928backed Yes35c53.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55240.4%21 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x562f…e46fbacked No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes34c43.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8311130.6%34 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No66c36.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.363256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No64c33.39$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.947848.7%38 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a1…435cbacked No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557f…efa5backed No67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.95100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+103.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a5b…aeecbacked Yes35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c3…f46ebacked No66c27.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+36.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.