TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x346e…1eb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$170.88
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.86
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$139.61
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.65
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$192.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$34.47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$102.6
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Getafe vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Mallorca vs. Getafe: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Elche CF win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Real Oviedo vs. Espanyol: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.87
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$127
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.61
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$163.83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$23.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$27.75
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43
MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Will AS Roma win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.75
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$27
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lyon win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Lille win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$81
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will Sport-Club Freiburg win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$38.4
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+68.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+150%+$112.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+400%+$80
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+83.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+525%+$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jefferies (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+46%+$15.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.