Us Politics · resolved market
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcf2271b7c57b7de917ef6205de87a46a4c180970e9480c9290bc9d18b74db93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,446,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,564,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,446,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 750 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa225…b903backed No | 2c | 82,963$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 66c | 46,863$30,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,890.48 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…e63bbacked Yes | 54c | 42,210$22,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,584.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ce…16ecbacked No | 44c | 36,460$16,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,002.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed No | 24c | 34,912$8,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,332.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +320.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…2f2abacked Yes | 63c | 29,126$18,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,732.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +173.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2ab0backed No | 29c | 27,565$7,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,987.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 67c | 26,552$17,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,773.02 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 49c | 24,271$11,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,892.81 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 73c | 23,851$17,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,514.06 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 62c | 22,397$13,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,569.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 14c | 20,221$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.23 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 78c | 20,075$15,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.51 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…2d05backed No | 21c | 19,763$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 21c | 19,011$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.1 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 60c | 18,721$11,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.34 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 76c | 18,568$14,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.73 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…8de3backed Yes | 52c | 18,424$9,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,890.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 0c | 16,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 15,207$8,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,984.88 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 77c | 15,115$11,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.3 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…5f17backed Yes | 55c | 15,000$8,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,757.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 65c | 13,121$8,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,563.64 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 15c | 12,601$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,703.62 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 49c | 12,095$5,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,902.92 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 69c | 11,413$7,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 55c | 11,409$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.01 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 59c | 10,907$6,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,405.11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 65cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 48c | 10,891$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,609.92 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…48bdbacked No | 29c | 10,412$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked No | 41c | 10,050$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.88 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 44c | 9,759$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.56 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 48c | 9,600$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,969.99 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +9.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +346.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 39c | 9,575$3,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.12 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…2ab2backed Yes | 28c | 9,462$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,827.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8243…15bfbacked No | 34c | 9,382$3,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,165.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 25c | 8,913$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.43 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 39c | 8,548$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 59c | 8,049$4,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.25 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fa…4864backed Yes | 77c | 7,814$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 32c | 7,752$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,306.76 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 18c | 7,378$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 21c | 7,269$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.44 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 67c | 7,232$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 32c | 6,958$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…106abacked No | 47c | 6,860$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 57c | 6,830$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.27 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 58c | 6,730$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.5 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 28c | 6,716$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.45 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…960bbacked No | 26c | 6,695$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 73c | 6,374$4,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.51 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Yes | 77c | 6,254$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.98 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 57c | 6,061$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.14 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Yes | 75c | 6,011$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 65c | 6,000$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.83 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 15c | 5,980$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…2858backed Yes | 74c | 5,580$4,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 25c | 5,124$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.13 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Yes | 34c | 4,995$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 79c | 4,910$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 46c | 4,386$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.83 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed No | 14c | 4,027$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 21c | 3,875$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.4 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 31c | 3,612$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.41 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…f200backed No | 54c | 3,451$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a671backed No | 59c | 3,402$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 61c | 3,296$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.69 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked Yes | 39c | 3,275$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 70c | 3,051$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.76 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 69c | 3,050$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.61 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 40c | 3,022$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02b2…52c2backed Yes | 33c | 3,016$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 71c | 2,993$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.72 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc912…b758backed No | 54c | 2,978$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…d600backed No | 24c | 2,969$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,960$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 80c | 2,949$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.26 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…4a0fbacked No | 44c | 2,900$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…6e03backed No | 78c | 2,893$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…63d9backed No | 34c | 2,873$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 26c | 2,868$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.03 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 76c | 2,855$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.95 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…bb52backed Yes | 31c | 2,732$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 39c | 2,713$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.97 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 26c | 2,709$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.1 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…a0efbacked Yes | 73c | 2,622$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 77c | 2,500$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yes | 34c | 2,442$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 42c | 2,400$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…1a2dbacked No | 53c | 2,256$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 18c | 2,248$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.72 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed Yes | 57c | 2,186$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 24c | 2,061$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.3 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed No | 9c | 2,055$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Yes | 71c | 2,043$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked No | 60c | 2,038$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.51 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Yes | 23c | 1,950$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 21c | 1,912$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…8fe1backed Yes | 39c | 1,891$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.