TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79d4…6d24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.52
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+184.8%+$1,458.93
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.03
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.39
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,019Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+66%+$2,650.98
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,385Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+55.1%+$2,416.2
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,445Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+90.6%+$5,835.81
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$692Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$691.66
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$773.06
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$444.11
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,859.98
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$745.73
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61%+$781.44
Seeker FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+300%+$277.89
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,099Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29%+$609.22
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,291Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+80.8%+$3,465.72
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,608Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,608.09
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$284.45
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,494Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33%+$492.42
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.2%+$443.36
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.6%+$217.3
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,493Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+145.7%+$3,633.19
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,415Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$1,071.46
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,702Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+30.5%+$519.95
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-70.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$212.06
Trudeau out before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+27%+$14.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+25%+$12.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$177.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$266.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,330.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,856Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,856.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 July hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$525.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,915Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$3,915
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.