Us Politics · resolved market
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70cd8d33fcc8ed0c8735809725bfe9c57b9d4b6836d3c904fc23cbc2ba13a6e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 37c | 15,967$5,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,078.77 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,218$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 52c | 11,167$5,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.7 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 76c | 10,535$7,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.72 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…9071backed Yes | 0c | 10,060$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9842…b531backed Yes | 0c | 10,060$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062f…7a75backed Yes | 0c | 10,060$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 55c | 3,602$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.76 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 71c | 3,278$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.68 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,212$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.48 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf1…70a7backed Yes | 29c | 3,067$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5962…8ca4backed Yes | 58c | 2,844$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 63c | 2,772$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.51 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 64c | 2,434$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.68 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 51c | 2,240$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.59 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…7b6fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,131$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…414cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,767$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed No | 51c | 1,760$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +371.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…a236backed Yes | 53c | 1,611$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 61c | 1,589$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…e867backed No | 77c | 1,494$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 47c | 1,371$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 48c | 1,360$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.18 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 59c | 1,313$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.84 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…b5dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,175$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,156$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.38 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 75c | 1,084$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.27 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed No | 76c | 939.8$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.23 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked No | 12c | 934.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…2ddabacked No | 34c | 900$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…0a88backed Yes | 46c | 900$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 57c | 885.82$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.25 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…decdbacked No | 14c | 874.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes | 55c | 800$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked No | 39c | 766.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.37 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 75c | 765.64$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 70c | 759.25$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Yes | 5c | 724.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e44…5610backed Yes | 49c | 700.37$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 64c | 532.76$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 18c | 528$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…49e3backed Yes | 2c | 525$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 68c | 475$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 71c | 420$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.71 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Yes | 36c | 401.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Yes | 19c | 400$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed Yes | 65c | 390.55$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 61c | 368.12$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.18 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…f67bbacked Yes | 70c | 358.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 54c | 345$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 41c | 330$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed No | 33c | 304.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 55c | 294.87$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65c…9bf2backed Yes | 17c | 270.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 30c | 264.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 255$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 33c | 244.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…5ec5backed No | 29c | 228.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked Yes | 54c | 220.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…c7a1backed Yes | 38c | 213.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked No | 42c | 210$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…9d2fbacked Yes | 49c | 203.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…9c79backed Yes | 57c | 180$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd64…1581backed Yes | 64c | 160.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf9…453dbacked Yes | 73c | 144.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…dc02backed Yes | 70c | 134.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed No | 10c | 127.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 79c | 125$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…e086backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 27c | 115.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…6bcdbacked Yes | 11c | 113.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked No | 75c | 113.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 29c | 102.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b9…a48bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…f1b3backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…6034backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 45c | 98.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 60c | 86.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…cf34backed No | 49c | 85.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…1fb2backed Yes | 58c | 85.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…48b7backed Yes | 31c | 82.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 52c | 80.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…f21fbacked Yes | 58c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +720.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 44c | 64.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…7a75backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe4…1996backed No | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…ac11backed Yes | 49c | 48.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 58c | 48.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2880…fa70backed Yes | 71c | 46.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b9…0844backed No | 47c | 42.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…8496backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…f11dbacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.