TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc30c…6509

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 56 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+720.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+19,739.1%+$3,381.81
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$236.43
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$414.98
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.84
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+68.4%+$12.86
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.14
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+58%+$13.47
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Trump cabinet member out before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.41
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+118.1%+$121.03
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.12
Another US military action against Iran by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.27
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
US-China trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+400%+$160
Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+134%+$113.85
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.32
Will fewer than 50k federal employees accept the buyout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+96.3%+$128.89
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+38.1%+$4.83
Will DOGE cut $1B from USAID before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$54.15
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+41.3%+$50.88
Trump executive order cutting Department of Education by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.24
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.89
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$146.56
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+90%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$85.57
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$187.03
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.03
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$783.82
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+2,037.3%+$345.26
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.45
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.73
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$92
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$14.27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+75.7%+$43.1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$36
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.5
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+29.2%+$22.83
Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.12
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+42.1%+$13.8
Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$95.82
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+218.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+83.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-67.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+34.2%+$5.1
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+25.4%+$2.54
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$101.02
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+298.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2025 MLB World Series have more than 15 million viewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$84.99
Guardians vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$15.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.48
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Cubert Academy (BO3)backed Cubert Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+70.6%+$50.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tulane win the 2025 American Conference Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+35.7%+$12.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+34%+$44.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$9.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FARTCOIN be listed on Hyperliquid this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alcaraz vs. Virtanen: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FS KKR Capital (FSK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$592.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.