Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Auburn vs. Vanderbilt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb57e94dc4fe7dc69f6f7ab1f1f628cb9d59c5122ed777b6e8292676c771f3036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auburnof Auburn, Vanderbilt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Vanderbilt | 25c | 3,525$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Auburn | 75c | 2,600$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Auburn | 79c | 2,539$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.86 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Vanderbilt | 20c | 604.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Vanderbilt | 19c | 604.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Vanderbilt | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Vanderbilt | 18c | 273.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…9dd9backed Vanderbilt | 23c | 156$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…b566backed Auburn | 77c | 151$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…f71abacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe230…30c7backed Auburn | 50c | 83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…2425backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…2d8dbacked Auburn | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…f347backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b1…1ac2backed Auburn | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Auburn | 79c | 34.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…2100backed Auburn | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b53…7d69backed Vanderbilt | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1a…9f78backed Auburn | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…f3b4backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3363…9f51backed Auburn | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…6509backed Auburn | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…6e5dbacked Vanderbilt | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e1…3213backed Vanderbilt | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…8216backed Auburn | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…d79dbacked Auburn | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…a9ddbacked Auburn | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfe…9213backed Auburn | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…fd5fbacked Auburn | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.