TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Buccaneers vs. Texans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buccaneersof Buccaneers, Texans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,871,934
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,965,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,871,934 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d54…3a09backed Buccaneers42c145,893$61,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,618.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Texans57c140,468$80,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,295.3831240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Buccaneers43c113,916$48,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,448.8247738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Buccaneers42c100,000$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,999.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Texans58c86,000$49,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,88027454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Texans37c66,439$24,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,443.8341851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Buccaneers43c55,701$24,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,530.383633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Texans44c53,686$23,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,573.7430043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Texans58c51,047$29,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,543.9544652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Texans58c50,000$29,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,00010566.7%70 W · 35 L+12.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+19.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Buccaneers43c50,000$21,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,50013843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Texans57c38,919$22,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,361.367554.7%41 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Buccaneers51c35,035$17,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,133.1314349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Texans58c34,559$19,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,965.4522548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Buccaneers43c32,499$13,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,524.4216545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Buccaneers69c31,493$21,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,891.583366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Texans57c30,000$17,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,099.9617454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x759b…2ab3backed Buccaneers43c29,975$12,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,085.552259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+246.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Buccaneers50c28,825$14,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,442.7514351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Texans59c27,688$16,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,297.3324551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Texans58c26,724$15,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,606.829445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Texans57c25,000$14,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,249.973745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Texans38c22,802$8,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,773.24436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Buccaneers43c22,313$9,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,718.243447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+112.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Texans47c21,592$10,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,083.2760049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Buccaneers43c20,884$8,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,903.887440.5%30 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Texans57c20,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Texans56c19,999$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.6417647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa526…8d8dbacked Texans58c18,762$10,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,881.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Buccaneers46c16,864$7,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,076.9712138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Buccaneers63c16,748$10,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,115.417736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Texans56c15,492$8,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,604.0731848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x058b…1cd1backed Texans59c15,404$9,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,048.132941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Texans49c15,341$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed Texans58c13,899$8,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,061.75560%33 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e98…1f51backed Buccaneers44c13,636$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,636.363652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Buccaneers51c12,930$6,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,293.0920634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Buccaneers41c12,334$5,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,227.312744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Buccaneers57c10,025$5,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,323.0911755.6%65 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Texans57c9,991$5,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,694.8722450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Texans41c9,760$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,001.62626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Buccaneers43c9,302$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,302.3313142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Texans36c8,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8802441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Buccaneers52c7,960$4,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,845.959944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Texans56c7,878$4,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,411.7617348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Texans46c7,859$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,633.181643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Buccaneers43c7,576$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,318.328550.6%43 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Buccaneers43c7,391$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.0316836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Buccaneers44c7,279$3,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.9816036.3%58 W · 102 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0930…0d60backed Texans58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,480728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Buccaneers43c5,982$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.4353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f56…173abacked Buccaneers43c5,350$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Texans59c5,311$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.210462.5%65 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+45.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Texans46c5,094$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+49.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Buccaneers43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Buccaneers44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8004443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Texans56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9414342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0b…84c7backed Buccaneers43c4,812$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,742.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e12…b366backed Texans57c4,735$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,698.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd564…d3a9backed Buccaneers43c4,650$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Buccaneers42c4,579$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.587035.7%25 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Buccaneers54c4,254$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.6764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Buccaneers34c4,078$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.563948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Texans51c4,039$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.1510960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Texans56c3,930$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.8834349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec6…47c1backed Buccaneers35c3,893$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.411566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texans57c3,884$2,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.0127348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Buccaneers43c3,850$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.5427339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Buccaneers54c3,745$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.261148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Buccaneers53c3,610$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.4619551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Texans58c3,448$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked Texans56c3,353$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fb7…63afbacked Texans46c3,272$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.7930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Buccaneers43c3,184$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.121850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Buccaneers64c3,143$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Texans56c3,107$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.1132050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Buccaneers46c3,073$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.7333328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Buccaneers44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68030446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Texans62c2,974$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8401338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50dc…ed37backed Buccaneers48c2,767$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Buccaneers72c2,724$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.231681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Buccaneers43c2,691$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.75549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb3…2d43backed Buccaneers56c2,680$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa340…f6c0backed Texans57c2,630$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4be…db5cbacked Texans57c2,630$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Buccaneers42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Texans56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4008959.6%53 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Texans57c2,500$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.2226650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Texans57c2,439$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.988648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Texans57c2,326$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3268343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8ff…c93bbacked Buccaneers43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28b1…5a3fbacked Buccaneers44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.739359.1%55 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Buccaneers44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.735250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked Buccaneers43c2,151$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.222429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Buccaneers43c2,145$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.2314344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Texans3c2,098$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.934311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96a…18d4backed Buccaneers44c2,030$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+128.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1e…2e41backed Buccaneers43c2,002$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.332740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb27f…8908backed Buccaneers42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1605851.7%30 W · 28 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Buccaneers42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16024351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.