TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8ff…c93b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$1,222.22
Will Stephen Hawking be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$597.66
Will Al Gore be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$33.42
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the United Kingdom before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will TikTok be on the App Store on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$3,044.42
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$1,069.86
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$772.22
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,775Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$1,225
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$9,418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$2,459.1
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will 50-100k federal employees accept the buyout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+293.9%+$881.82
Will Tony Blair be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,474.81
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,709.9
Trump ban on birth right citizenship in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$5,997.42
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$109.1
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST-100%-$1,575.01
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+49.5%+$255.89
Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+28.5%+$359.61
Will West Ham vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Southampton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$61.42
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Southampton win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+66.7%+$42.67
Will Everton win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$60
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$40.07
Lions vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100
Cowboys vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$2,460.78
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,024Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+81.3%+$2,457.48
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,325.58
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Bears vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+34.7%+$798.34
Seahawks vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
49ers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$92.21
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,015.81
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13,888Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$5,076.4
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$299.36
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,000
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,999Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+54%+$3,781.12
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+75.9%+$1,518.71
Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$100
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Benfica win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$2,708.33
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$499.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,134.91
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29,808Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$10,270.04
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$6,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,771.03
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,878.99
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$9,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,115.55
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43,486Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$43,486.5
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,500
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$1,805.8
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+78.2%+$3,980.37
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,278Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,940.92
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,400
All 6 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+96.9%+$49.2
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+143.9%+$143.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+101.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$587.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Verona win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$391.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times April 25–May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 25–May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$629.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Solana reach $270 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$38.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$470.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$115.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$896.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ludogorets win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+29%+$5.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Werder Bremen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$286.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10,386Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$2,885.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,050
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$35,461.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.