MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x381c1f67fe92b73e72b4edd00b1b08422ef1f384978be48a0a0ba951f63a5a80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 51c | 48,306$24,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,701.43 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 18,007$8,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,823.31 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cardinals | 48c | 9,778$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.02 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 6,664$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.15 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cardinals | 50c | 5,000$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 57c | 4,986$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.89 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 29c | 4,653$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 4,643$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Reds | 50c | 2,884$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.94 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 50c | 2,650$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.95 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Reds | 51c | 2,500$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.28 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 3c | 2,455$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Reds | 63c | 2,400$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 74c | 2,061$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.05 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 49c | 2,013$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.5 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 49c | 1,961$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,863$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.77 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 48c | 1,713$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.76 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cardinals | 24c | 1,553$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.98 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 63c | 1,524$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.29 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Cardinals | 52c | 1,354$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 30c | 1,351$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.17 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Cardinals | 50c | 1,295$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 48c | 1,281$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.96 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 32c | 1,095$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.44 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Reds | 49c | 982.99$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.33 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 52c | 980.52$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.87 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 33c | 919.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Cardinals | 50c | 892.49$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.25 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 52c | 802.99$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.31 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cardinals | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 29c | 771.84$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.39 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Cardinals | 38c | 747.47$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.12 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Cardinals | 51c | 692.57$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.21 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Cardinals | 51c | 639.9$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.35 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 70c | 625.89$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Cardinals | 51c | 601$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.51 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…d158backed Cardinals | 51c | 520$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Reds | 49c | 519.55$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…7102backed Cardinals | 51c | 500.67$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.34 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Cardinals | 50c | 468$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 75c | 462$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.78 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cardinals | 50c | 455$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Reds | 51c | 452.86$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.9 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Reds | 65c | 433.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.33 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cardinals | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 51c | 353$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cardinals | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cardinals | 51c | 346.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.6 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 35c | 304.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cardinals | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Cardinals | 51c | 278.49$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.03 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Reds | 50c | 271.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cardinals | 52c | 250$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…213ebacked Reds | 50c | 242$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…9e04backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…8cb6backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…9b5dbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…935dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…d19cbacked Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…8fdebacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…f029backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…dcbfbacked Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3035…89a6backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…66e5backed Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Reds vs. Cardinals: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.