Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b627c1a38a2ea5faebe74ad89857b14020ceb89ea9131978a216807be71c4b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 50,000$17,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,933.41 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 68c | 25,331$17,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,135.96 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 32c | 16,666$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 15,376$9,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.22 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 66c | 9,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 8,726$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.13 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 64c | 7,756$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,792.25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 63c | 3,643$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.84 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 37c | 3,623$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 36c | 2,775$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 2,700$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,679$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.16 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yes | 16c | 2,303$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 63c | 2,167$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.29 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 2,110$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.13 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 63c | 1,912$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.94 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked No | 65c | 1,881$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 37c | 1,543$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 63c | 1,362$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.79 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…83dabacked No | 66c | 1,351$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 33c | 1,261$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 66c | 1,183$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.27 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 64c | 1,100$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 891.18$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 22c | 875.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 35c | 775$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 32c | 705.13$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 67c | 652.34$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccb…0683backed Yes | 33c | 541.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 35c | 531$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 36c | 525.33$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 496.52$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.7 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 66c | 450.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed No | 63c | 404.59$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Yes | 31c | 393.02$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 63c | 340.12$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 36c | 281.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.23 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 36c | 279.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed No | 66c | 270.87$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Yes | 36c | 252.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 245.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 23c | 244.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8484…efe8backed No | 63c | 239.33$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Yes | 36c | 216.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 29c | 199.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked No | 77c | 194.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 63c | 169.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 79c | 163.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 70c | 146.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 36c | 138.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 63c | 138.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed Yes | 36c | 126.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 28c | 111$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Yes | 27c | 107.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 63c | 101.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 36c | 96.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Yes | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 64c | 86.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed No | 76c | 83.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 66c | 77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 37c | 60.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 21c | 60.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…1eb4backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c24…0f25backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…66b8backed Yes | 37c | 49.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked No | 63c | 42.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…4488backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?this page
- Will Verona vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Verona win on 2025-09-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.