TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5652…ff34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
465
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: World Politics, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT12134.7%42 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 121 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elise Mertens vs Mirra Andreevabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Laura Siegemundbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.1
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.41
Madrid Open: Tatjana Maria vs Laura Samsonbacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.91
Madrid Open, Qualification: Simona Waltert vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+142.4%+$45.78
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Karolina Muchovabacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Ningbo Open: Victoria Mboko vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Ningbo Open: Xiyu Wang vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+73%+$33.76
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Iga Swiatekbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$98.77
Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Yue Yuanbacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$26
Wuhan Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.6
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Holger Runebacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 121 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10040%40 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 100 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$300
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$170
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$504
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+194.1%+$330
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+222.6%+$288.85
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Will PSV win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 100 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT5347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+142.5%+$29.06
Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lyon win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Rangers win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.76
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.5
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Lyon win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ajax vs. Union St.-Gilloisebacked Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Will Real Sociedad vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Galatasaray win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Twente win on 2025-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AS Roma vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Viktoria Plzen vs. Ferencvarosbacked Viktoria Plzen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$19.6
Roma vs. FC Portobacked Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
FCSB vs. PAOKbacked PAOK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT5221.2%11 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$100.1
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.54
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.62
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$448.46
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.79
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.57
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.2
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Jazzbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST4320.9%9 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid+55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+3,233.3%+$970
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$208
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+316.7%+$60.8
Falcons vs. Patriotsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
49ers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.15
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Packers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+1,566.7%+$310.2
Steelers vs. Jetsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$107.1
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$181.11
Will another player win NFL MVP for the 2024-2025 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the Eagles win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+197.8%+$159.4
Will Newcastle vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will Leeds United vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$150
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$71.94
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+150%+$30
Will Manchester United vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Manchester City win again in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Brighton win on 2024-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will West Ham win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the Saudi Arabian GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Bahrain Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.05
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 China Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.02
Will Ferrari record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+96.7%+$48.33
Will Williams record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+165.3%+$80.99
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$36
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Miami (OH) vs. Western Michiganbacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Penn Statebacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Colorado vs. West Virginiabacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Missouri State vs. Libertybacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+525%+$84
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Southern Miss vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$14
BYU vs. Iowa Statebacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$70
Toledo vs. Washington Statebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
San Diego State vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+330.6%+$89.47
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will US Cremonese vs. Parma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.78
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.21
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Inter win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+85.3%+$276.21
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+248%+$436.69
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+53.8%+$26.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$205.29
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+177.4%+$178.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$280
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.