Europa Conference League · resolved market
Roma vs. FC Porto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6034117cd5d1f451a96f9af354d5565880d020c22e64142bb6b4d10008faf644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Romaof Roma, Porto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Porto | 33c | 6,264$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Roma | 64c | 4,679$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.1 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Roma | 67c | 1,597$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.99 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Porto | 34c | 798.35$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Porto | 36c | 632.14$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Roma | 71c | 533.96$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Roma | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Roma | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Porto | 32c | 310.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe41e…75c2backed Porto | 31c | 257$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…b73fbacked Porto | 31c | 202$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Porto | 29c | 201.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…5449backed Roma | 69c | 190$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa9…e725backed Porto | 31c | 183$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391f…28bdbacked Porto | 31c | 163$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Porto | 32c | 154.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Roma | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…2281backed Roma | 69c | 141$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Roma | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b2…fbefbacked Roma | 69c | 108$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…e5cabacked Roma | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Porto | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Roma | 72c | 95.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be1…4a57backed Roma | 69c | 93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…bb95backed Porto | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…90b5backed Roma | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…2970backed Roma | 69c | 83$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…f39bbacked Porto | 32c | 78.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Porto | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Roma | 59c | 73.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Porto | 66c | 63.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…d6a7backed Porto | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Porto | 33c | 62.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Roma | 56c | 55.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Roma | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Porto | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…c5c3backed Porto | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…eca7backed Roma | 72c | 44.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…07b5backed Roma | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4424…88a8backed Porto | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Roma | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…c3a1backed Roma | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…bc10backed Roma | 69c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be72backed Porto | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…268abacked Roma | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69f…ceb0backed Roma | 67c | 35.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8989…3164backed Roma | 64c | 30.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…1071backed Porto | 36c | 30.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Roma | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Roma | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…de54backed Roma | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e7…e3adbacked Porto | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roma vs. FC Portothis page
- Ajax vs. Union St.-GilloiseAjax won
- Anderlecht vs. FenerbahceFenerbahce won
- Bodo Glimt vs. FC TwenteBodo Glimt won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Real SociedadReal Sociedad won
- FCSB vs. PAOKFCSB won
- Galatasaray vs. AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar won
- Viktoria Plzen vs. FerencvarosViktoria Plzen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.