Europa Conference League · resolved market
Bodo Glimt vs. FC Twente
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427bcdadabc961a1f8de01c306a993656e66dda9457c3fa512a6e1a8e3dd9dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bodo Glimt of Bodo Glimt , FC Twente
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bodo Glimt | 21c | 2,400$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.44 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…224cbacked Bodo Glimt | 51c | 1,434$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed FC Twente | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed FC Twente | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed FC Twente | 62c | 792.79$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Bodo Glimt | 15c | 648.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.67 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Bodo Glimt | 52c | 639.99$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bodo Glimt | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked FC Twente | 36c | 371.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Bodo Glimt | 53c | 246.22$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Bodo Glimt | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked FC Twente | 59c | 195.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed FC Twente | 60c | 113.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b0…afd6backed Bodo Glimt | 29c | 110.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed FC Twente | 52c | 107.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bodo Glimt | 40c | 101.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Bodo Glimt | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Bodo Glimt | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…9b05backed Bodo Glimt | 36c | 86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FC Twente | 56c | 84.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Bodo Glimt | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed FC Twente | 63c | 59.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Bodo Glimt | 60c | 51.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Bodo Glimt | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Bodo Glimt | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…725bbacked FC Twente | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed FC Twente | 63c | 41.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Bodo Glimt | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed FC Twente | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…9369backed Bodo Glimt | 37c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…755bbacked Bodo Glimt | 37c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…4f80backed Bodo Glimt | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…d6a7backed FC Twente | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…25d9backed FC Twente | 51c | 32.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…1155backed Bodo Glimt | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…7130backed Bodo Glimt | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3005…f6a7backed Bodo Glimt | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…2e34backed Bodo Glimt | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…e8c6backed Bodo Glimt | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…bcd9backed Bodo Glimt | 37c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc8…745cbacked Bodo Glimt | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd63…152fbacked Bodo Glimt | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…19abbacked Bodo Glimt | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…f44bbacked FC Twente | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…629cbacked FC Twente | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4102…28a8backed FC Twente | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…9aa5backed FC Twente | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3da…b988backed FC Twente | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…c59ebacked FC Twente | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…e6f2backed FC Twente | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ceb…69f0backed FC Twente | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…d1f3backed FC Twente | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…a371backed FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc9…6877backed FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83b…02a2backed FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8f…00d1backed FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…d754backed FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b1…7239backed FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…9334backed FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbee…8b60backed FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…b7ddbacked FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef5…7caebacked FC Twente | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed FC Twente | 73c | 17.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaed…0995backed FC Twente | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…d9c8backed FC Twente | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…4782backed FC Twente | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…db26backed FC Twente | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…b82ebacked FC Twente | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…b60fbacked FC Twente | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa6…bc39backed FC Twente | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bodo Glimt vs. FC Twentethis page
- Ajax vs. Union St.-GilloiseAjax won
- Anderlecht vs. FenerbahceFenerbahce won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Real SociedadReal Sociedad won
- FCSB vs. PAOKFCSB won
- Galatasaray vs. AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar won
- Roma vs. FC PortoRoma won
- Viktoria Plzen vs. FerencvarosViktoria Plzen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.