Europa Conference League · resolved market
FCSB vs. PAOK
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5578c4127c29da96451472d10248de53e69e866600f2fb4c3cbf717948174ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FCSBof FCSB, PAOK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked FCSB | 71c | 7,615$5,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.72 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed PAOK | 28c | 4,416$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.62 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…1c25backed PAOK | 30c | 4,414$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked FCSB | 71c | 3,390$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed PAOK | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked PAOK | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FCSB | 70c | 509.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked PAOK | 9c | 422.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked PAOK | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed PAOK | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed FCSB | 77c | 185.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…0f5cbacked PAOK | 29c | 173.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed PAOK | 28c | 139.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed FCSB | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed FCSB | 73c | 74.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed PAOK | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked PAOK | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…d6a7backed PAOK | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed PAOK | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e7…e3adbacked FCSB | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…3c43backed PAOK | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed PAOK | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed FCSB | 73c | 44.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…4079backed PAOK | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca19…d362backed PAOK | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…053abacked PAOK | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…224dbacked PAOK | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7c…a50cbacked PAOK | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…9501backed PAOK | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6b…e209backed PAOK | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…fff3backed PAOK | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe517…f8b4backed FCSB | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed FCSB | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…4023backed FCSB | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…6355backed FCSB | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf698…c74bbacked FCSB | 71c | 20.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…0139backed FCSB | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c22…3d4fbacked FCSB | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…0483backed FCSB | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d89…e57abacked FCSB | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7608…75f9backed FCSB | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…28eabacked FCSB | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ee…d2febacked FCSB | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bf…389cbacked FCSB | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1a…865fbacked FCSB | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…b917backed FCSB | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3a…9ad6backed FCSB | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…bddabacked FCSB | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…bedebacked FCSB | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd897…0f56backed FCSB | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9b…6f5bbacked FCSB | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…06d4backed FCSB | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…10eebacked FCSB | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FCSB vs. PAOKthis page
- Ajax vs. Union St.-GilloiseAjax won
- Anderlecht vs. FenerbahceFenerbahce won
- Bodo Glimt vs. FC TwenteBodo Glimt won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Real SociedadReal Sociedad won
- Galatasaray vs. AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar won
- Roma vs. FC PortoRoma won
- Viktoria Plzen vs. FerencvarosViktoria Plzen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.