TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67a7…86ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST6331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yastremska vs. Svitolina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$228.02
Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Varvara Grachevabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$558.6
Qatar Total Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$952.89
Qatar Total Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Set 1 Winner: Cocciaretto vs Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$113.02
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Transylvania Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Daria Snigurbacked Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$177.2
Transylvania Open: Emma Raducanu vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$315.5
Transylvania Open: Yue Yuan vs Daria Snigurbacked Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+123.3%+$772.98
Set 1 Winner: Yuan vs Snigurbacked Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Ostrava Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Mona Barthelbacked Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$139
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Transylvania Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+230.6%+$1,394.99
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+93.1%+$436.15
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$322.47
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+50.7%+$240.5
Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+57.8%+$204.6
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$961.12
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+363%+$392
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+178.1%+$143.28
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$116.4
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$555
Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Bublik (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$143.38
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST3511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-76.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,519.75
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$123.95
Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,535Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,534.71
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$181.23
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$87.5
Will Shakhriyar Mamedyarov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.99
Will Wesley So win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$169.92
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$254.76
Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$117.04
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42.02
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22.46
Will Alexander Grischuk win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.77
Will Anish Giri win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$71.27
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$143.6
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12.74
Will Leinier Dominguez Perez win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20.78
Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22.74
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15.1
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$419.6
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.53
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+286.7%+$519
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.62
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$780
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Hellas Verona FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+48.1%+$384.19
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$275
Will US Lecce win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$161.99
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$109.99
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+37.9%+$419.9
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+129.9%+$565
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$240
AC Milan vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,494Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+87.4%+$1,306.23
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$350
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+25%+$199.92
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$360
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Juventus FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+212.5%+$527.34
Juventus FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$486
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$314.9
Will Inter win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.94
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2020%4 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+252.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Romanian politician Georgescu guilty in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$616.77
Will Ciprian Ciucu get at least 40% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.54
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 35% and 40% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+6,213.8%+$1,223.11
Will Baluta flip Ciucu for Bucharest Mayor by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$211.2
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.7
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.35
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 20% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 15–20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$126.78
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.63
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$312.95
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,428Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$2,849.39
Will PAS win by greater than >16% of the vote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.63
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+42.5%+$5,048.65
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$38.86
Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?backed Dan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$494
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Crin Antonescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,219.7
Will George Simion advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 20 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Williams finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.27
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.4%+$160.14
Will Red Bull finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$543.49
Will Ferrari finish third in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will George Russell finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+30.7%+$470
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60.56
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$320
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.69
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$632
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$850
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+525%+$692.97
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$578.48
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+205.8%+$142.11
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Hamilton vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$370
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-54.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jake LaRavia: Points O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80.39
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$520
Pelicans vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$509.99
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Mavericks vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Pelicans vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70.5
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$44.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+76.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$2,799.92
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$131.49
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$188.98
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$310
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$270
Will Tottenham vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+525%+$344.4
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+60.1%+$44.94
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$39
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+480.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+480.1%+$12,000.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.9%+$247.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria beat Romania?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$598.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China-EU trade deal before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$615
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.