NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa6d10e5af23f5e37fc6bda4722dfe79566117f71e3d946adbb8245cf785bf9f

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pelicansof Timberwolves, Pelicans
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $162,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $164,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,635 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcad4…c108backed Timberwolves	52c	46,010$23,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,829.1	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves	51c	37,272$18,946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,946.3	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans	48c	32,544$15,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,837.84	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Timberwolves	51c	11,846$6,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,079.98	208	49.5%103 W · 105 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves	52c	10,041$5,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,221.48	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans	50c	6,796$3,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,413.93	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Timberwolves	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.97	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pelicans	48c	4,200$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,184	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Pelicans	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,040	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pelicans	47c	3,486$1,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,831.53	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pelicans	48c	3,285$1,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,708	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Pelicans	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Timberwolves	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,530	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans	47c	2,674$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,408.08	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Pelicans	51c	2,471$1,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,210.59	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves	36c	2,219$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.44	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans	48c	2,125$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,096.2	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Pelicans	50c	2,070$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.94	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Pelicans	49c	2,041$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.82	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Timberwolves	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pelicans	49c	1,961$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Timberwolves	51c	1,961$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans	60c	1,846$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$747.35	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans	48c	1,492$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.94	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pelicans	49c	1,429$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.57	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Pelicans	49c	1,409$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.59	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Pelicans	49c	1,020$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.41	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Timberwolves	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Timberwolves	51c	986.53$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.13	117	55.6%65 W · 52 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans	50c	966.4$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$483.11	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pelicans	49c	947.74$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.21	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves	47c	892.65$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.48	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves	50c	773.52$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.76	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans	48c	703$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.56	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Pelicans	49c	652.04$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.47	137	50.4%69 W · 68 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves	47c	578.2$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.42	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pelicans	49c	501.97$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.34	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Pelicans	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	629	48.6%306 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Timberwolves	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pelicans	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Timberwolves	52c	480.77$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-5.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves	43c	460.14$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.75	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Pelicans	51c	450$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.5	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Pelicans	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd5…9c28backed Pelicans	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	104	45.2%47 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Timberwolves	50c	338.7$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.35	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Timberwolves	51c	320.98$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.18	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Pelicans	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	289	29.4%85 W · 204 L	-13.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Timberwolves	49c	300$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.12	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pelicans	44c	297.02$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.01	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans	51c	296.83$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.03	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Pelicans	49c	284.57$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.13	685	42.6%292 W · 393 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pelicans	49c	221.76$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.11	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Pelicans	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Timberwolves	53c	200$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves	49c	198.98$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a2…6f00backed Timberwolves	44c	198.77$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.46	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Timberwolves	51c	196.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Pelicans	51c	196.07$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.07	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Pelicans	50c	186.72$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.79	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2a…e715backed Timberwolves	51c	173.92$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.7	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Pelicans	48c	169.99$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.4	824	40.4%333 W · 491 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Timberwolves	51c	157$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.07	543	51.6%280 W · 263 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Timberwolves	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	366	43.2%158 W · 208 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Timberwolves	51c	146.92$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	226	55.3%125 W · 101 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Timberwolves	72c	138.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef68…5733backed Pelicans	50c	130$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33ec…6124backed Pelicans	31c	124.09$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.13	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	+78.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Pelicans	62c	124.03$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.17	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Timberwolves	50c	121.77$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.89	219	48.9%107 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7942…f92cbacked Timberwolves	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Timberwolves	49c	104$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.96	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-8.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pelicans	50c	101.94$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.21	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Pelicans	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	127	43.3%55 W · 72 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Timberwolves	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	745	47.2%352 W · 393 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Pelicans	48c	94.68$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.93	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Pelicans	54c	85.19$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.19	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Timberwolves	39c	76.91$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Timberwolves	62c	75.44$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.77	574	44.1%253 W · 321 L	-20.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Timberwolves	49c	75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.94	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Pelicans	50c	71.01$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.51	387	50.4%195 W · 192 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans	51c	62$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.32	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Timberwolves	51c	56.64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	164	43.9%72 W · 92 L	-9.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Timberwolves	51c	56.64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	150	40%60 W · 90 L	-14.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Timberwolves	40c	55.96$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	189	57.1%108 W · 81 L	+12.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Timberwolves	25c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	655	42.9%281 W · 374 L	+17.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Timberwolves	52c	48.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	380	50.8%193 W · 187 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcc…2937backed Timberwolves	43c	46.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Timberwolves	48c	46.39$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.37	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba0…a6afbacked Timberwolves	52c	46.17$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.01	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+3.6wins	+0.16per pick	58cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Pelicans	49c	45.23$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.07	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9794…32c9backed Pelicans	49c	44.5$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.7	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd4…676ebacked Pelicans	49c	42.7$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.78	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf1…796ebacked Pelicans	49c	41.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.04	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Timberwolves	48c	40.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Pelicans	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Pelicans	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d1…5557backed Timberwolves	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.12per pick	60cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6c4…c5dbbacked Timberwolves	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Pelicans	51c	38.12$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.68	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)this page
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesPelicans won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Pelicans won
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event