TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c4,507$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under46c2,927$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.943,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over55c2,861$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.3746632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over58c2,577$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.363,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c2,367$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.468,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd4…35b5backed Over3c2,300$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73270%0 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under41c2,065$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.31,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c2,013$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.612,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over34c1,790$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.8176054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,326$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under38c801.05$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.1811942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…2851backed Over48c707.77$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.561741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Over47c692.66$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3249848%47 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27535049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under47c428.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.5920147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c416.09$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over54c374.18$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.463,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020728.5%59 W · 148 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c339.77$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c328.06$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.873,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under52c317$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1648347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under43c304.73$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.543,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15913464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over52c285.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.523850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c255.31$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.312,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over52c252.5$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.32,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Under46c216.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.423330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c208$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.42,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over55c201.82$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Under52c182$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.187150.7%36 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under50c175.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.411,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under43c169.43$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.21,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Over67c148.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005265.4%34 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under45c147.77$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7113750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over55c138.18$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7662546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under47c133.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0665542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over78c128.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005860.3%35 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under58c117.17$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9331144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c105.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.71,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over52c102.34$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over49c101.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5338845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under40c97.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6424330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a26…dae7backed Over55c96.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.861952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Over52c95$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.410652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over22c91.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209430.9%29 W · 65 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under47c83.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0319050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d9c…4bb6backed Under33c82.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.965565.5%36 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under45c80.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.591,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over55c70.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3949358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over50c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over57c61.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.791,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c60.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.282,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d65…c8cebacked Under45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a7…1493backed Under77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.88127.2%22 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d47…45d3backed Over53c50.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.87933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+107.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over53c50.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.91,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over40c46.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5245445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…73fbbacked Over52c45.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.561127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over34c43.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under41c42.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1959141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2536453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under51c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.625,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc151…e045backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Under52c36.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.546847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70cf…f491backed Over64c31.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a8…642bbacked Under47c30.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1517466.1%115 W · 59 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Under68c29.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.441850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4227…8c10backed Over51c29.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over53c27.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5541556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Over54c24.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.198440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under49c22.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2314557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over50c22.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.031,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb4…68c3backed Over52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.837253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Over66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1156454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc30…4c4fbacked Under77c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.