NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9990ea2f105b0ed83cbba064b61951fe53d288427310b50848130c10b9555c99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 10,931$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 9,212$4,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,646.02 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 6,300$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.76 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 3,900$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.55 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…d2e1backed Under | 49c | 3,867$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…b263backed Under | 49c | 3,801$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 49c | 3,792$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.5 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b28…9813backed Under | 49c | 3,753$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9213…6710backed Over | 51c | 3,712$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4876…f72fbacked Over | 51c | 3,468$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 3,441$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…c936backed Under | 49c | 3,325$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c1…0970backed Over | 51c | 3,122$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…ee4dbacked Over | 51c | 3,022$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228a…c4aabacked Over | 51c | 3,011$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…c110backed Under | 49c | 3,011$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…ce82backed Over | 51c | 2,956$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 2,854$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.5 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 2,172$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…5733backed Under | 49c | 1,888$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.14 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…a978backed Under | 49c | 1,534$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 1,478$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…92b6backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…8f3dbacked Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b89…b1b8backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…5080backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8a…63b8backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…0800backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…39bdbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee0…4c3fbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…f364backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…7a0fbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…45fdbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…4a50backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a61…292dbacked Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…490dbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…9e3abacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…a20dbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…91b6backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcf…e69fbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca0…2324backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c1…d693backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af3…815fbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…1ca3backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb655…7a33backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…6ddfbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…6641backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035e…bc2dbacked Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…7cc2backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…284fbacked Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca2…fb56backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…31b4backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…9e25backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…1395backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc261…a263backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c8…89fbbacked Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…31f9backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…10d3backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…316dbacked Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…0501backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf435…615bbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…aa15backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…d972backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…d3efbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5e…d6d0backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…913cbacked Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2473…3f8fbacked Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0606…8454backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c16ebacked Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…af20backed Under | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…4ef4backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…d4f7backed Over | 51c | 1,460$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 48c | 1,260$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 52c | 1,016$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.56 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 985.7$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.11 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 799.99$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Under | 49c | 765.31$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…af59backed Under | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 521.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Under | 50c | 510$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 56c | 494.86$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 335.36$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 49c | 276.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.13 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 274.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…7435backed Under | 49c | 206.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.39 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 51c | 206.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.