NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x164b8ab87a40763e5f79224fc310a9e3ec633ce8479e14e9e7d74776b5cf52a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 19,152$9,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,192.72 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 17,267$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,374.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 16,811$8,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,315.39 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Over | 49c | 7,755$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 7,244$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.6 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 3,892$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 3,510$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.98 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 3,210$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 56c | 3,042$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 3,004$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 2,194$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 807.11$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Under | 32c | 800$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 651.55$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.97 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 399.97$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 50c | 364$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 341.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 325.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Under | 56c | 321.43$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…7f42backed Under | 52c | 240.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Under | 40c | 201.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…d47bbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Over | 48c | 90.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 74.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…c9bfbacked Under | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 60c | 49.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…0e69backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4a…4fb5backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Over | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 60c | 22.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesPelicans won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Pelicans won
- Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.