NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9db35c4338d5da1fbcc324850a1dc7a7a75c354847c0cf6b4cf4fddb00a0640

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Pelicansof Timberwolves, Pelicans
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $72,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,712 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans	54c	17,793$9,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,201.58	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Pelicans	55c	4,972$2,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,222.85	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans	58c	3,836$2,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,611.83	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Timberwolves	45c	3,630$1,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.5	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans	54c	2,719$1,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,262.19	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Timberwolves	46c	2,391$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	184	48.9%90 W · 94 L	-13.3wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Timberwolves	44c	2,269$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.5	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-25%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves	47c	1,633$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.41	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Pelicans	62c	1,613$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.9	160	42.5%68 W · 92 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans	56c	1,502$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.88	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Timberwolves	44c	1,448$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves	46c	1,396$642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.16	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves	45c	1,352$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.89	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves	46c	1,192$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.4	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Pelicans	59c	1,153$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$472.86	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves	46c	1,087$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Timberwolves	46c	999.99$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Pelicans	58c	862.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.07	271	58.3%158 W · 113 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves	43c	790.11$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.39	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Timberwolves	46c	652.17$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75cf…4a8bbacked Pelicans	55c	578.18$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a3…4543backed Timberwolves	45c	570$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Pelicans	67c	522.5$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.5	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Pelicans	58c	518.36$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.47	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves	43c	488$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.84	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Timberwolves	44c	454.55$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-6.5wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-36%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans	56c	454.46$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.53	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves	44c	447$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.68	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Pelicans	59c	432.96$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.96	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Timberwolves	45c	412.74$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.11	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Timberwolves	43c	395.19$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.93	106	42.5%45 W · 61 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Pelicans	59c	389.05$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.51	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Pelicans	59c	383.35$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.17	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Pelicans	61c	329.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.14	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pelicans	55c	303.17$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.23	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Pelicans	61c	300.64$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.64	134	64.2%86 W · 48 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves	41c	292.68$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves	44c	280.13$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.52	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Timberwolves	47c	272.92$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Pelicans	59c	271.19$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.19	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c34…05cfbacked Pelicans	49c	256$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.33	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Timberwolves	39c	244.18$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.97	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves	47c	234$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.73	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Pelicans	59c	230.51$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.51	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a67…e0dbbacked Timberwolves	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves	39c	221.71$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.1	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Timberwolves	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a7…86cebacked Timberwolves	40c	200.98$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.39	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Pelicans	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	182	40.7%74 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Pelicans	54c	189.63$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.37	470	45.1%212 W · 258 L	-10.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Pelicans	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Pelicans	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Pelicans	64c	157.95$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.57	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Pelicans	57c	156.58$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.62	183	45.9%84 W · 99 L	-16.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Timberwolves	46c	155.55$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.55	147	42.2%62 W · 85 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Pelicans	55c	145.45$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.45	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Timberwolves	48c	133.73$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.85	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans	58c	130.47$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.49	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pelicans	59c	130$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.96	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Timberwolves	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-5.2wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pelicans	67c	112.76$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.65	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pelicans	57c	112$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.16	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves	46c	111.42$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.96	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e31…5e8ebacked Timberwolves	43c	106.02$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.59	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves	32c	104.71$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Pelicans	59c	101.69$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.69	503	51.5%259 W · 244 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Pelicans	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaff0…2e7fbacked Pelicans	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Pelicans	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	263	39.5%104 W · 159 L	-13.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca4…2a96backed Pelicans	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddd…5042backed Pelicans	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	157	58%91 W · 66 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Timberwolves	41c	98.42$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.53	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Timberwolves	42c	95$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pelicans	60c	91.67$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Timberwolves	44c	91.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Timberwolves	43c	90$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.25	180	31.7%57 W · 123 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa885…84debacked Timberwolves	48c	90$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.6	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Pelicans	59c	85.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.33	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd227…0e69backed Pelicans	61c	81.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.97	58	69%40 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d65…c8cebacked Pelicans	61c	80.23$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.64	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Timberwolves	43c	79.64$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.9	243	30.5%74 W · 169 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf096…3692backed Timberwolves	46c	76.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cfe…2fd8backed Timberwolves	29c	76.03$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Timberwolves	42c	72$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Timberwolves	43c	69.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	113	47.8%54 W · 59 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Pelicans	61c	65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.35	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Timberwolves	42c	63.95$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.86	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Pelicans	57c	63.93$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.49	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pelicans	63c	63.49$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.49	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Pelicans	53c	61$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.67	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba35…92bdbacked Timberwolves	46c	60$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	259	30.5%79 W · 180 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e07…b908backed Timberwolves	41c	59.37$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.22	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.21per pick	41cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Timberwolves	45c	58.53$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.27	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Timberwolves	41c	58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.78	520	52.3%272 W · 248 L	+31.4wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Pelicans	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	479	48.6%233 W · 246 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pelicans	47c	49$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.97	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Pelicans	59c	47.86$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…46a1backed Timberwolves	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	66.7%30 W · 15 L	+3.9wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pelicans	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fab…3332backed Timberwolves	40c	37.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)this page
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Pelicans vs. TimberwolvesPelicans won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Pelicans won
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)Pelicans won
Trey Murphy III: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Trey Murphy III: Points O/U 22.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event