TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c34…05cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$458.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$113.75
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$82
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$212
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$254.68
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
LoL: French Flair vs Lille Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked Lille Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+257.1%+$893.62
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$15.5
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$22.13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$32.85
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$19.25
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$44.22
LoL: DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+316.7%+$60.79
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,708Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$1,397.7
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$319.96
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$107.88
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$73.25
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$20.72
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$78.4
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+105.3%+$131.33
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+733.3%+$162.93
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$276.04
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+306.5%+$628.33
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$194.12
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40.15
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$51.78
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ostrava Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$46.8
Ostrava Open: Katie Volynets vs Alycia Parksbacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$141
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$4,013.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$124.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.