TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b64…eaf4backed Tundra Esports1c9,266$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.417740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports50c8,423$4,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,222.6955157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Team Spirit43c5,300$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.9810445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tundra Esports13c4,612$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.2914121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit72c4,279$3,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.6434468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Tundra Esports55c3,643$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports57c3,509$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00033850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit50c3,316$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.671,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Spirit56c2,851$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.077562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5c3d…7011backed Team Spirit70c2,502$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.656100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Team Spirit43c2,188$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Spirit42c2,176$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.0311547%54 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit49c2,170$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.1666662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports52c2,104$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.8239660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Team Spirit60c2,000$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.914456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Spirit57c1,844$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.1521062.4%131 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Tundra Esports59c1,835$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.4657455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports57c1,765$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d81…294abacked Tundra Esports57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Tundra Esports58c1,603$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9303354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Team Spirit63c1,592$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.7716058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Tundra Esports59c1,584$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.294245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Tundra Esports57c1,316$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports57c1,262$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.2147660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Spirit43c1,250$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.4946535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Spirit60c1,248$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.7528341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Spirit40c1,184$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.559345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Tundra Esports60c1,167$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit41c1,085$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2664744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports42c1,032$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports49c1,023$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50041655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe977…c4d7backed Tundra Esports1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Tundra Esports59c1,000$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.161457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Spirit42c998$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.8411253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit47c996.73$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.1733645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports42c987$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.881,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit50c950.53$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.342,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Tundra Esports34c874.44$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.915337.3%57 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Tundra Esports51c850.56$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.816046.7%28 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Spirit57c842.02$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.9217444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Team Spirit49c818.46$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.46742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tundra Esports36c786.74$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6315047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Spirit42c749.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.995839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit66c720.02$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.8159250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a94…5e99backed Tundra Esports57c702.94$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006159%36 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Tundra Esports57c632$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.6825444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Tundra Esports39c622.73$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.33351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Team Spirit42c603.57$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0721350.7%108 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked Tundra Esports17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports46c570.92$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.452,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Spirit44c454.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.7391356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit41c442.27$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9489440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit51c426.49$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4926957.6%155 W · 114 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed Team Spirit46c404.15$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.157147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit50c402$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d97…f2bebacked Tundra Esports37c401.81$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit50c401.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.7645046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18031545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c34…05cfbacked Tundra Esports52c400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Spirit41c399.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.996245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Spirit41c399.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.9912843.8%56 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Tundra Esports19c399.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9979343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x757a…70f6backed Tundra Esports58c392$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.36757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fb…4442backed Tundra Esports50c386$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1938763.2%55 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Team Spirit50c380.84$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.422924.1%7 W · 22 L-8.0wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Spirit41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8526453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Tundra Esports24c359.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.713827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Tundra Esports59c336.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports60c335.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Tundra Esports54c326$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.45166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Tundra Esports50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed Team Spirit47c299.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.413964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports57c290$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.333541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x322f…84e2backed Tundra Esports57c289.53$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f42…c72fbacked Tundra Esports59c288.51$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit50c288.2$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.221,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports59c273.81$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.5554445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Tundra Esports57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Team Spirit40c251.67$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410e…1209backed Tundra Esports54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Tundra Esports55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.031258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Team Spirit60c249.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.476762.7%42 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f3…f1a8backed Tundra Esports54c246.12$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.89520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-73.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb88…b1d7backed Tundra Esports43c241.24$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.443228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports57c235$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9553757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Team Spirit42c228.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Team Spirit49c225.32$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8811348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1976…e363backed Team Spirit53c220.46$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.125646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Spirit48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3328549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Tundra Esports51c207$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.637844.9%35 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf77…f8fbbacked Tundra Esports39c201.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.253718.9%7 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe2d…77b4backed Team Spirit63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b7c…bfd7backed Tundra Esports50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Spirit50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10034154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Tundra Esports43c199.62$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6111052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tundra Esports46c196.5$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.334063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tundra Esports37c196$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5279341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Team Spirit42c190.99$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7715250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports47c189.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.192056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.