TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x322f…84e2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Lol at 49 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+63.1%+$197.25
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$960.78
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$259.67
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,167.66
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$303.95
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$294.36
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,246Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,246.28
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$160.89
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$525.23
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+57.4%+$419.43
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.4%+$328.3
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$165.03
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$62.77
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29.74
Dota 2: Heroic vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$234.27
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+46%+$210.86
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,235.52
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$810.07
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$267.59
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$391.5
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$944Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$266.34
All 7 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$217.19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$398.19
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.