TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2586…f071backed MOUZ80c7,620$6,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.434468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed Team Yandex1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2210%0 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0617…154dbacked MOUZ66c6,600$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Team Yandex49c6,086$3,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.5415047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex14c5,415$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.0280443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ40c4,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.994443.2%19 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Yandex53c3,719$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.7317444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Yandex6c3,267$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1314121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex60c2,853$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.342650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3d…7011backed MOUZ79c2,531$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.336100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ39c1,958$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.3746535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex65c1,944$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26647660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Team Yandex53c1,823$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.1315946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex60c1,685$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.8957455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Yandex62c1,614$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed MOUZ38c1,568$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.3616050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex32c1,553$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.921,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ46c1,543$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.3556848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ44c1,441$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.582,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed MOUZ37c1,405$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.723050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed Team Yandex56c1,375$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.54456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Team Yandex60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed MOUZ40c1,001$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.627451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ47c928.89$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.242,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex34c887.44$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.71,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked MOUZ54c844.84$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.747562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ65c800$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28438049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex68c738.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked MOUZ66c675$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.52763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ32c626.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.627944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Team Yandex69c559.39$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.982646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ33c510.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.91,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Yandex40c499.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.999750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa340…409bbacked MOUZ46c475.9$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.371353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed MOUZ55c443$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.731245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked MOUZ39c427.56$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.812259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Team Yandex60c390$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2343537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed Team Yandex72c372.93$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.2416058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ68c349.06$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1277458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8741655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…767fbacked Team Yandex60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Team Yandex66c300$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4090…3e81backed MOUZ69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Team Yandex20c300$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Team Yandex74c300$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex60c299.14$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.9391356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Team Yandex61c291.9$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0667853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Team Yandex5c269.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9416835.7%60 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex37c265.84$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3666662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ47c261.61$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.4214940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ34c254.71$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.236054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x096a…0074backed MOUZ41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93928.2%11 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Team Yandex65c232.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked MOUZ67c230.25$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.453467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Team Yandex59c217.78$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2712229.5%36 W · 86 L-18.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Yandex57c203$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1879341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Yandex21c200.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4317740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Yandex68c200$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13512061.7%74 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a60…3170backed Team Yandex64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1286046.7%28 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed MOUZ40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc50b…d576backed Team Yandex16c194.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.45520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ38c182.54$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7734154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed MOUZ28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575450%27 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaa4…71c5backed Team Yandex55c175$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.756245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Team Yandex60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed Team Yandex52c164.88$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.593743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed MOUZ41c159.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.39955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Yandex37c153$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5754753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Team Yandex67c151.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7548352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe34e…c0f4backed MOUZ26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1116547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed MOUZ21c150$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.518444.6%82 W · 102 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed MOUZ48c147.94$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7818143.6%79 W · 102 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2f…7241backed Team Yandex72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed MOUZ42c128.74$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.14045%18 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ40c121.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7322845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex52c119.92$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.741,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Team Yandex68c117.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9229245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed MOUZ52c112$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6814453.5%77 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Team Yandex60c109$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.46850%34 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x031e…276dbacked Team Yandex60c108$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed MOUZ23c104.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2420530.7%63 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a4…d2b5backed MOUZ74c104.72$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.45137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex52c102.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.061,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked MOUZ39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5620046%92 W · 108 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x322f…84e2backed MOUZ71c102.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.74850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c37…e7eebacked MOUZ39c101.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Team Yandex50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.262152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed MOUZ40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6017152%89 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b4…b5e8backed Team Yandex68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…89d0backed Team Yandex41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404967.3%33 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed MOUZ26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1545457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Team Yandex64c94.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ49c90.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.966535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80c3…ed8fbacked MOUZ38c89.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.623138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex52c86.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6822654.4%123 W · 103 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Team Yandex48c86.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.75354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…532fbacked MOUZ35c85.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.73740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Team Yandex47c85.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.495841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked MOUZ27c84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.322343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.