Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab758c66a18383b4087fd49f5d2a202d037880a086d9e73635fbf307079d8ece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Falcons, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 18,883$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994.31 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…ffaabacked Team Falcons | 1c | 9,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 8,761$5,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.87 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…4df0backed Team Liquid | 57c | 7,397$4,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Falcons | 57c | 7,097$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,043.81 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Team Falcons | 62c | 6,888$4,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.66 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a3…e71dbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 6,572$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 45c | 6,253$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,463.66 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 6,198$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.23 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 6,000$2,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.95 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Team Falcons | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 42c | 5,506$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.04 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid | 40c | 5,100$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 4,732$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.7 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Liquid | 49c | 4,411$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,268.51 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…c5adbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 4,201$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Team Liquid | 47c | 3,810$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.97 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +11.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 3,736$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.84 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 41c | 3,184$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.09 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 2,815$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.77 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,539$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.09 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Team Falcons | 57c | 2,421$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Falcons | 44c | 2,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.39 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…e363backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,092$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 2,013$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.84 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Liquid | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Team Liquid | 37c | 2,000$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,933$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,897$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.18 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,619$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.93 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,500$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,500$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 43c | 1,484$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.8 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Team Falcons | 48c | 1,387$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.84 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,350$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 1,312$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.66 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Team Falcons | 4c | 1,300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,283$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.98 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,207$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.35 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,196$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.95 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,163$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.49 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,118$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…4d2cbacked Team Falcons | 6c | 1,108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +246.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Team Falcons | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,075$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.19 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 1,060$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.9 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Team Falcons | 3c | 1,055$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +712.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 37c | 1,026$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.02 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Team Falcons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…84e2backed Team Falcons | 61c | 987.79$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Liquid | 42c | 972.07$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.89 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 61c | 967.5$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.69 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 960$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.8 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Team Liquid | 55c | 953.49$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…e0f6backed Team Falcons | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 41c | 892.96$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.46 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 76c | 879.98$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.28 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Falcons | 47c | 867.91$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.33 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…8ae3backed Team Falcons | 61c | 825.81$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Falcons | 61c | 813.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Team Falcons | 62c | 802.63$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.63 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 66c | 761.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 736.97$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…3e6bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 714.77$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 691.19$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.96 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 43c | 685.93$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.83 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Team Falcons | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Team Falcons | 76c | 660.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Falcons | 41c | 657.43$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.83 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Team Liquid | 59c | 654.28$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid | 76c | 618$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 597.26$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.37 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons | 61c | 582.62$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.4 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Liquid | 41c | 563.28$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.38 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid | 48c | 551.63$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.31 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Falcons | 65c | 525.78$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Team Liquid | 33c | 515.91$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.41 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 486.43$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.55 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Team Falcons | 62c | 483.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Team Falcons | 24c | 448.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…6e5ebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 442.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 425.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Team Falcons | 48c | 405.59$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…262fbacked Team Falcons | 7c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons | 52c | 395.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.38 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Team Falcons | 62c | 389.96$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.13 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 376.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Team Falcons | 49c | 355.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 342.75$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.04 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid | 46c | 328.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 322.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…6b57backed Team Liquid | 20c | 315.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons | 64c | 311.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Team Falcons | 58c | 308.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb9…2b21backed Team Liquid | 39c | 300.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Team Liquid | 30c | 300$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.