Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d19840d0eec2dc15574ea028423636ecbc8f1f10b100c70f14f83cf098623cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Tundra Esports, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Heroic | 53c | 5,895$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.21 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 5,825$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b18…84f7backed Heroic | 23c | 5,800$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 37c | 5,603$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 5,116$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.12 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 4,073$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Heroic | 42c | 3,940$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.34 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed Heroic | 44c | 3,466$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 3,000$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.03 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Heroic | 50c | 2,853$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.6 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 2,557$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8015backed Heroic | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 46c | 2,299$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.61 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Heroic | 21c | 2,137$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.14 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic | 52c | 2,036$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.39 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Heroic | 53c | 2,036$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.87 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 22c | 2,026$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.75 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c8…9bbdbacked Heroic | 23c | 2,020$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked Tundra Esports | 8c | 1,976$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Heroic | 25c | 1,958$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.11 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Tundra Esports | 79c | 1,899$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,848$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.41 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…2116backed Heroic | 23c | 1,530$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Heroic | 22c | 1,457$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.62 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…7afbbacked Heroic | 23c | 1,410$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30eb…c1c9backed Heroic | 23c | 1,410$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e9…f062backed Heroic | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 40c | 1,399$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.56 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic | 26c | 1,224$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.85 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Heroic | 23c | 1,217$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.04 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,150$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.49 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Heroic | 55c | 1,128$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.78 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Heroic | 27c | 1,070$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.37 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Tundra Esports | 75c | 1,008$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Heroic | 24c | 1,006$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.13 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683e…df7fbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…4418backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…8775backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 994.99$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 986.76$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 985$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.46 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 975.2$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.34 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 32c | 907.17$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.88 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 53c | 905.39$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.53 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…3283backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 864.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…20f9backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 800$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +171%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 799.98$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 776.33$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.11 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7adf…fe6dbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 770$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…1babbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 760$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…6d6fbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 710$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157e…ab07backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 710$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff8…6f67backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 700$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…ed7dbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 700$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…537bbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 700$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…c6f7backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 700$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…ccb1backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 680$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce89…f530backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 675$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…84e2backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 673.37$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed Heroic | 22c | 673.37$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…2d0dbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 665$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 659.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 649.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 617.84$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.53 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 613.73$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…18a9backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a2dbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…f6d0backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 536.29$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.97 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 518.95$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.78 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 518$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Heroic | 22c | 511.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.15 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tundra Esports | 4c | 509.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…d0babacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…0536backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…af61backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…1338backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…b3a7backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Heroic | 24c | 489.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.32 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 460.52$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…f1eebacked Tundra Esports | 9c | 448$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Heroic | 23c | 439.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.8 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Heroic | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 431.34$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.61 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 422.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Heroic | 24c | 420$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 415.21$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.35 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…b1d7backed Tundra Esports | 7c | 406.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 403.82$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e3…1951backed Tundra Esports | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7eebbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…239fbacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…0faabacked Tundra Esports | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…594fbacked Heroic | 52c | 385.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…a2b3backed Tundra Esports | 78c | 376.1$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- First Blood in Game 2?Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.