Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec0d3cb3f795b90f112c4b19bdc0fb8d470f593b849a148bc90f6a5a0da18a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Tundra Esports, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 33,286$20,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,920.51 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 30,464$16,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,346.74 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Heroic | 36c | 17,799$6,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,336.1 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Heroic | 39c | 15,514$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,436.59 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 43c | 8,953$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.89 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Heroic | 44c | 6,706$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.48 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Heroic | 46c | 6,216$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.57 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 45c | 5,951$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.01 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 42c | 4,998$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880.12 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 44c | 3,999$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.86 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 2,782$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.15 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Heroic | 44c | 2,296$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.42 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,909$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.86 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,861$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.48 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,378$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.71 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 36c | 1,208$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.53 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,150$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Heroic | 37c | 1,142$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.3 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 1,100$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Heroic | 35c | 1,002$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.04 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 50c | 963$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.66 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Heroic | 32c | 802.35$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Heroic | 37c | 754.59$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.49 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Heroic | 31c | 699.36$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.61 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Heroic | 38c | 670$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.9 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic | 45c | 650$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.27 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 629.83$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.51 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 620.74$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…8ae3backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 592.56$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 560.83$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.08 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 556.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 550$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 537.1$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 52c | 520.02$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.07 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Heroic | 43c | 516.03$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…ccddbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 455.01$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Tundra Esports | 16c | 450$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Heroic | 32c | 440.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.54 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 435.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 405.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…5f33backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 393.45$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic | 50c | 382.08$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 343.75$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 305$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Heroic | 33c | 303.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 30c | 285.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 273.12$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…e02ebacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 269.02$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…146dbacked Heroic | 37c | 265.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Heroic | 38c | 264.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 256.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…594fbacked Heroic | 48c | 252$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Heroic | 70c | 231.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 230.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 230.18$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 48c | 228.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Heroic | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…d2b5backed Heroic | 55c | 195$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…e065backed Heroic | 36c | 191.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 187.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 170$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 666 | 48.6%324 W · 342 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…4067backed Heroic | 52c | 160.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…7235backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 146.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Heroic | 65c | 140.63$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…a75bbacked Heroic | 39c | 134.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Heroic | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Heroic | 57c | 127$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 124.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901c…6e95backed Heroic | 35c | 107.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +198.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f02…5100backed Heroic | 49c | 106.24$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…740bbacked Heroic | 38c | 102.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ce…fd71backed Heroic | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Heroic | 36c | 97.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…37ccbacked Heroic | 65c | 88.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Heroic | 44c | 83.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Heroic | 37c | 74.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed Heroic | 40c | 65.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…f3cfbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…4137backed Heroic | 39c | 62.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 62.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 304 | 43.8%133 W · 171 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 55.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Heroic | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Heroic | 37c | 53.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-InHeroic won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- First Blood in Game 2?Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.