Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2644c48bd994b14fc312057d373eb8dcc71deeace70ed7fb86998ca06e4910a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Tundra Esports, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Heroic | 37c | 32,872$12,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,709.35 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 29,503$18,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,558.37 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 15,995$9,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,926.81 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Heroic | 52c | 11,159$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.31 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Heroic | 40c | 6,865$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.51 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 5,000$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.09 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 4,677$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 4,675$2,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,945.12 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tundra Esports | 0c | 3,807$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d7f4backed Heroic | 56c | 2,624$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Heroic | 42c | 2,447$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.11 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 44c | 2,195$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.28 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Heroic | 54c | 2,024$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.75 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic | 43c | 1,933$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.2 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 1,824$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.45 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 42c | 1,620$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.53 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,504$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,248$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.57 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Heroic | 50c | 1,225$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.69 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,054$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.09 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Tundra Esports | 1c | 964.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 962.24$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.06 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…3283backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 939.28$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 938.97$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.27 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Heroic | 51c | 906.14$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.52 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 47c | 892.11$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.72 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…8b14backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 813.19$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 40c | 788.12$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.13 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Heroic | 41c | 787.64$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.46 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic | 66c | 705.51$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 629.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 599.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2d…77b4backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 563.87$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bc…2f60backed Heroic | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…9656backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 500$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0752…afadbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 500$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…230bbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 500$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…7e13backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…a59cbacked Heroic | 46c | 499.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…eebdbacked Heroic | 47c | 499.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9383backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 414.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…5f33backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 387.2$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f8…cfaabacked Heroic | 56c | 357.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…b3a7backed Heroic | 35c | 293.13$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Heroic | 54c | 287.14$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Heroic | 35c | 278.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.27 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Heroic | 50c | 272.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 267.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Heroic | 41c | 244.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 241.55$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 49c | 230.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Heroic | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Tundra Esports | 24c | 211.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Tundra Esports | 13c | 210.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Tundra Esports | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db2…1338backed Heroic | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 188.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Heroic | 51c | 188.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…532fbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 159.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 59c | 157.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 154.15$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Heroic | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…594fbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 137.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Heroic | 45c | 133.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Tundra Esports | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…d683backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 109.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Heroic | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…0629backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…f3cfbacked Heroic | 48c | 98.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 83.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 81.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Heroic | 37c | 79.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…283ebacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 72.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…b94cbacked Heroic | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 71.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Heroic | 43c | 70.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 67.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7b06backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 65.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…0e0bbacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…740bbacked Heroic | 37c | 58.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…e99bbacked Heroic | 56c | 58.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Tundra Esports | 30c | 55.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Heroic | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…be27backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 50.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0529…da98backed Heroic | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Heroic | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Heroic | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 49.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…5a03backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-InHeroic won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- First Blood in Game 2?Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.