TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa132…eebd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$220
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.56
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$211.99
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$476
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$200
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+202.1%+$66.6
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,092Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$308
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$315
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$543.99
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$136
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$289.99
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$259
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$460
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$184
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$199.79
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+143.9%+$471.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$522
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$156
LoL: DN Freecs vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+49.3%+$231
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.42
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$578.4
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 5 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$44.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$40.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+270.4%+$146
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$43.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.