Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x456ca9f3bee2ffb5e07cc61e7658e03e2013ddb0afe15e5b7755eff1628bdb34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 32,725$24,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.2 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 30,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.99 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 17,110$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 8,374$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.28 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 6,441$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.07 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 5,462$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.4 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 5,350$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 191 | 22.5%43 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…e850backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 4,323$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 3,762$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 3,750$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.5 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 3,491$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 3,108$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.94 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 70c | 2,984$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.41 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 2,908$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.13 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 2,800$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 2,790$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 2,755$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.5 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 2,728$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.09 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 2,436$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.25 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…6c34backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 2,418$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.36 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 1,900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…a935backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 1,497$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.29 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,436$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 1,264$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…de0abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 1,258$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fed5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 1,206$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.52 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 1,120$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…5e9fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,024$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 1,022$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 3.2%7 W · 212 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 994.72$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 915.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 900$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 812.65$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.1 | 462 | 63.9%295 W · 167 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809d…4f4fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 799.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…52b4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 799.99$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…eebdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 799.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…6631backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 799.98$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 784.38$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 699$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 306 | 61.1%187 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 665.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.47 | 178 | 26.4%47 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 648.65$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 643.78$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.51 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…bfe8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 592.8$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 556 | 39.6%220 W · 336 L | +32.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa394…89e9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 567.31$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.02 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…1c63backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 564.88$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 549.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 524 | 38.9%204 W · 320 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 507.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 500$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa37e…2da4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 498.75$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…5b93backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 492.53$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 470.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 458.35$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 493 | 66.7%329 W · 164 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 452.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 401.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 399.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 390.91$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 378.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a0dfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 378$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 335.52$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 312.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 311.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…fa51backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 310.22$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 307.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 304.54$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 71c | 290.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 53c | 261.74$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…abadbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 256.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 255.94$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd34…a1d7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 254.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…0064backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 251.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…c9e4backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 251.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 245.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 234.03$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 209.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 442 | 45.9%203 W · 239 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68e…8a50backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 202.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 200.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 324 | 57.7%187 W · 137 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 196.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 193.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 193.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 188$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 167.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 165.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 298 | 33.9%101 W · 197 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 153.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 289 | 42.6%123 W · 166 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 152.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.