Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa3656a3c10ef5df5f19c16d9319220ea9b02ec263ace5970a0b1a6be4246f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 27,323$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.08 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 21,964$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.26 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 20,139$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.1 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 7c | 10,577$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.01 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 7,983$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.39 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 7,332$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 5,590$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 5,052$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 3,884$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 9c | 3,734$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.38 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 2,923$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 2,783$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.66 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 2,654$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 2,079$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.53 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,560$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.22 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…93f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 1,560$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 1,277$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 1,202$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.45 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…1094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 1,198$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.46 | 206 | 21.8%45 W · 161 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 1,036$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…75d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 980$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 835.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 800$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 747.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…5e9fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 710$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7745…230bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 700$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0a…1aaabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 74c | 699.79$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d71…3b2cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 699.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 657.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 298 | 56.4%168 W · 130 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 628.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.82 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 623.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d5…8ea7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 599.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 565$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 555$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1d…caadbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 502.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 76c | 498$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 477.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…9350backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 462.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 322.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 310$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 301.14$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eda…3b84backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0de…4949backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…1c79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 299.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 278.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 273.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 264.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 249.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…29d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 235.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…e373backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 216.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 212.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 298 | 33.9%101 W · 197 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…8275backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 208$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 198$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 193.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…0943backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 185.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 182.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 168.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 168.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 164.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 143.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 116.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…1007backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 108.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 13c | 108.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 105.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 105.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…55eabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…a935backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…2db2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 92.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 246 | 29.7%73 W · 173 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…d19dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 81.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 73.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 67.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 61.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 59.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…56acbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.