TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x006d…06f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
119
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3218.8%6 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.17per pick36cpaid-52.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+203%+$66.97
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$53.6
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$21.25
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80.4
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+222.6%+$138
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DRX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$56.85
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$58.25
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$56
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$119
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$65.7
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$175.86
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.8%+$286.21
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$302
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,597Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+141.2%+$2,254.86
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$97.36
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$847.57
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$243.4
Over $26M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Over $30M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$51.69
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$162.8
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$101.83
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$153.03
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,839Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+110.6%+$3,141.48
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+139.6%+$1,476.61
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+47.1%+$32
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29.64
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+51.3%+$369.5
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.9%+$2,207.42
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$53.99
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$434
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$385.3
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$9,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$9,280.16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$472
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+71.8%+$598.06
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$218.74
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+44%+$673
Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$201.15
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,770Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.2%+$1,391.63
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$251.53
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+32.6%+$245.99
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.4%+$155
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$76.7
Will Japan win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.75
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$164.22
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+180.1%+$192.9
Will Italy win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+74.8%+$183.79
Will Germany win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.27
Will Italy win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$104.96
Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+48.5%+$860.8
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,576Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.1%+$962.35
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$455.66
Will Estonia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.02
Men's Knockout - Slovakia vs. Finlandbacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$52.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-77%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-69.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+45.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+587.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+587.5%+$403.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.