Olympics · resolved market
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5960824b158ca6fb6c9d99f80d6ae4c2ac62f4b6686626f561c7d5f5fd6b0381
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1214…ebecbacked Yes | 1c | 11,977$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 19c | 6,946$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.67 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 18c | 3,469$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.61 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 18c | 3,405$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.59 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 71c | 3,090$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.69 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 22c | 2,764$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.56 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 8c | 2,655$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37ad…c8dcbacked Yes | 22c | 2,317$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 23c | 2,147$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…5adfbacked Yes | 18c | 2,143$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.83 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 11c | 1,901$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 45c | 1,433$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,333$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…f2ddbacked Yes | 39c | 1,119$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 16c | 1,081$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 80c | 1,061$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f0d0backed Yes | 41c | 965.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…103dbacked Yes | 12c | 918.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 17c | 898.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 3c | 866.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Yes | 39c | 801.35$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 14c | 724.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 24c | 669.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4165…da31backed Yes | 16c | 644.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b26…a280backed Yes | 17c | 582.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…0871backed Yes | 21c | 570.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 19c | 568.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed Yes | 29c | 566.44$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 80c | 562.92$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes | 24c | 542.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 17c | 514.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…c993backed Yes | 19c | 500$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd90…ab3ebacked Yes | 13c | 499.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 499.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Yes | 20c | 498.16$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 20c | 494.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 12c | 459.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 455.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Yes | 23c | 422.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3e…8af2backed Yes | 45c | 418.89$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…ac75backed Yes | 25c | 395.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 382.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 8c | 373.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 16c | 355.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 345.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…6df8backed Yes | 22c | 336$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked No | 61c | 304.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a00…159dbacked Yes | 20c | 296.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 34c | 267.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 16c | 237.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…c753backed Yes | 20c | 212.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked Yes | 11c | 212$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked Yes | 15c | 210.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…2eb4backed Yes | 42c | 201.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2907…9c3fbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Yes | 19c | 199.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…5c29backed Yes | 21c | 166.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…c260backed Yes | 22c | 160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 26c | 153.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7f…46ebbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 44c | 140$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6c42backed Yes | 24c | 135$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…ffb4backed Yes | 15c | 130.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 79c | 127.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 20c | 126.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 123.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0889backed Yes | 22c | 122.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 15c | 119.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…69acbacked Yes | 17c | 115.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…22c3backed Yes | 33c | 105.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…2682backed Yes | 16c | 102.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…3fadbacked Yes | 15c | 101$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…ebbfbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…7e1dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…70dabacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 79c | 96.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…e8fdbacked Yes | 40c | 95.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…f76abacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbece…113abacked Yes | 22c | 92.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…10e6backed Yes | 39c | 89.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…0731backed Yes | 18c | 82.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…d368backed Yes | 37c | 81.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…7851backed Yes | 42c | 81.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…c81abacked Yes | 18c | 80.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…756cbacked Yes | 29c | 78.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…e8dbbacked Yes | 20c | 76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed Yes | 15c | 72.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 45c | 67.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…d7b4backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151d…4926backed Yes | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…35a4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…3e66backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will Japan win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.