Olympics · resolved market
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3197a05ebee26c4eb5c62a2a85a3faa0101c40e83e3aec58e9d97bea7551a70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 52c | 14,857$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,079.97 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 24c | 14,680$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.23 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Yes | 69c | 13,060$8,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.12 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 3c | 9,240$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 18c | 9,092$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,466.65 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 33c | 7,000$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 56c | 5,822$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed No | 0c | 4,455$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed No | 45c | 3,931$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 3,694$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 56c | 3,272$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.18 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed No | 4c | 2,857$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 14c | 2,535$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed No | 8c | 2,412$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f38…f189backed Yes | 73c | 2,033$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 61c | 1,898$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.79 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,793$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 52c | 1,691$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.2 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fee…850abacked Yes | 53c | 1,358$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea0…5adfbacked Yes | 17c | 1,349$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.35 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3e…d8d0backed Yes | 23c | 1,329$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 7c | 1,322$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed Yes | 31c | 1,305$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670e…0cd9backed No | 17c | 1,204$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,200$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…08fbbacked Yes | 33c | 1,150$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 17c | 1,080$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 24c | 936.86$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.87 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked Yes | 29c | 857.09$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.77 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6c42backed Yes | 77c | 853.58$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 12c | 801.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.81 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 19c | 758.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 13c | 745$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.36 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 47c | 701.53$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…808fbacked No | 3c | 663.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6def…0d85backed Yes | 34c | 590.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 30c | 573.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 40c | 508.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 15c | 499.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.73 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 10c | 492.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +885.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…8672backed No | 54c | 461.56$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…e39abacked Yes | 46c | 461.56$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 24c | 461.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 41c | 442.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0dc…e78abacked No | 56c | 426.85$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…30fdbacked Yes | 44c | 426.85$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…6669backed No | 64c | 402.12$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec1…2778backed Yes | 36c | 402.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 8c | 395.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.42 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 14c | 364.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 52c | 350.61$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 33c | 332.8$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed Yes | 36c | 300$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 42c | 298.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 28c | 290.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 28c | 282.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…ac75backed Yes | 36c | 280.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…1109backed Yes | 14c | 278.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +595.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 255$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…4325backed Yes | 16c | 250.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 54c | 250$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…e149backed No | 46c | 237.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 231.64$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…d367backed No | 61c | 227.77$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6278…d2a3backed Yes | 39c | 227.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…76cabacked Yes | 38c | 223.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 36c | 211$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed No | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…0c0ebacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed No | 6c | 199.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 17c | 198.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.84 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 182.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 16c | 180.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 56c | 175.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7293…0516backed No | 67c | 171.39$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…1cffbacked Yes | 33c | 171.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…d1b4backed Yes | 79c | 168.01$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…a08cbacked Yes | 63c | 159.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 27c | 155.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 10c | 147.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 55 | 9.1%5 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 75c | 147$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 49c | 143.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…c260backed Yes | 35c | 139.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed No | 10c | 138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 42c | 134.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ef…dee6backed Yes | 67c | 128.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…4dc7backed Yes | 39c | 127.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Yes | 55c | 127.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 73c | 121.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…be37backed Yes | 17c | 119.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 76c | 109.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…0292backed Yes | 14c | 105.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +622.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…abc1backed Yes | 55c | 100.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a8…a3c7backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Austria win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Canada win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will China win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Japan win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Netherlands win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Norway win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.