TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b30…29a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$19,809.52
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,728Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$5,314.77
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,901.89
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$244.83
Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$137.78
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$301.09
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,603.5
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$600
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$7,129.7
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$412.62
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$962Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+679.2%+$6,537.45
Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,144.14
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+184.4%+$2,917.5
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$523.68
Will Andor win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$130
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$775
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$452.42
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$1,169.71
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$70
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$2,025Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$20,474.89
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.4
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.84
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.8
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$923.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$1,022.84
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,176.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+96.1%+$950.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+885.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+885.7%+$442.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$409.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$192.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,817.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.