NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x913d4a16804f0e1751bd1508318bcdd1d1e259426ce828527cf9bfc2576a876b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Hornets, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,624 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns | 44c | 30,911$13,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,271.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hornets | 56c | 29,051$16,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,235.26 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Suns | 46c | 10,115$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.11 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfe…7766backed Suns | 58c | 5,350$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns | 44c | 5,012$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.68 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 53c | 4,650$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.37 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Hornets | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 43c | 3,190$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.74 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hornets | 64c | 2,507$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.44 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 46c | 2,128$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.85 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns | 45c | 2,000$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Hornets | 50c | 1,799$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.49 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Hornets | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab9…99b3backed Hornets | 64c | 1,484$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets | 55c | 1,478$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Hornets | 56c | 1,364$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Hornets | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Hornets | 42c | 1,300$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.44 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Hornets | 54c | 1,297$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.43 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hornets | 58c | 1,158$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.06 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 48c | 1,153$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Suns | 38c | 1,099$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Suns | 55c | 1,073$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.13 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets | 47c | 1,066$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.91 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hornets | 56c | 900$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.59 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 45c | 867.94$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a7…4972backed Hornets | 39c | 680.75$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.77 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns | 47c | 643.9$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns | 57c | 529.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Hornets | 47c | 500.96$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Hornets | 55c | 490.91$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Hornets | 54c | 412.96$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Suns | 44c | 401.06$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.02 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Suns | 46c | 355.12$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Suns | 49c | 332.7$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Suns | 45c | 326.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Suns | 46c | 310$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns | 52c | 300.79$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.51 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Hornets | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Suns | 45c | 283.04$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hornets | 39c | 279.52$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 56c | 268.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Hornets | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Suns | 43c | 195.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Hornets | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…2f74backed Hornets | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Hornets | 54c | 183.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Hornets | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Hornets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Hornets | 14c | 172.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 122 | 27%33 W · 89 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Suns | 46c | 155$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hornets | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hornets | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Hornets | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Hornets | 54c | 139.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Hornets | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hornets | 44c | 136.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns | 51c | 135.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Suns | 46c | 134.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Hornets | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Hornets | 55c | 123.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Hornets | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Suns | 56c | 112.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked Suns | 45c | 111.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Suns | 47c | 111.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hornets | 58c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Hornets | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Suns | 45c | 108.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Hornets | 58c | 102.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Hornets | 41c | 100.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Hornets | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Hornets | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Hornets | 55c | 99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Suns | 45c | 93.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Hornets | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hornets | 57c | 87.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac8…9e67backed Hornets | 49c | 87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Hornets | 56c | 84.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…427bbacked Hornets | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Hornets | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Hornets | 36c | 77.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Hornets | 43c | 76.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Hornets | 54c | 75.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbc…e924backed Suns | 52c | 66.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Suns | 52c | 62.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Hornets | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Hornets | 45c | 60.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Hornets | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns | 45c | 59.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…16b0backed Hornets | 55c | 54.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Hornets | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Hornets | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Hornets | 64c | 52.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Hornets | 54c | 50.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Hornets | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Suns | 52c | 46.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 45c | 44.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Hornets | 49c | 40.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-3.5)this page
- Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandon Miller: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Collin Gillespie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Grayson Allen: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Grayson Allen: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Hornets vs. SunsSuns won
- Hornets vs. Suns: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Hornets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 106.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5Under won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Hornets (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Hornets (-5.5)Suns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.