TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Hornets, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,624 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns44c30,911$13,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,271.564,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets56c29,051$16,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,235.262,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Suns46c10,115$4,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,462.111,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbfe…7766backed Suns58c5,350$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+54%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns44c5,012$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.6887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Suns53c4,650$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.372,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Hornets55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hornets43c3,190$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.742,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Hornets64c2,507$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.442,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns46c2,128$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.856,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns45c2,000$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1053,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Hornets50c1,799$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.4949938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Hornets64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab9…99b3backed Hornets64c1,484$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets55c1,478$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Hornets56c1,364$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76440451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Hornets55c1,364$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Hornets42c1,300$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4440243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Hornets54c1,297$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.4358347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Hornets58c1,158$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.0690957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns48c1,153$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.938,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns38c1,099$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Suns55c1,073$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.133,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hornets47c1,066$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.913,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Hornets56c900$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.5951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns45c867.94$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a7…4972backed Hornets39c680.75$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.775358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns47c643.9$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.383,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Suns57c529.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.993,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Hornets47c500.96$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Hornets55c490.91$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Hornets54c412.96$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2235558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Suns44c401.06$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.021,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Suns46c355.12$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7654549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns49c332.7$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.171,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Suns45c326.94$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.821,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Suns46c310$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns52c300.79$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Hornets56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Hornets50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns45c283.04$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Hornets39c279.52$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.011,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Hornets56c268.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Hornets56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11238261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Suns43c195.03$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6345452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Hornets54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.63534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x72b1…2f74backed Hornets54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-76.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Hornets54c183.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993250%16 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Hornets55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Hornets56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015547.1%73 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Hornets14c172.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.612227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Suns46c155$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.756547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Hornets54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8125340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hornets54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Hornets55c145.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017148%82 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Hornets54c139.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2713151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Hornets54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Hornets44c136.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns51c135.87$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.031,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Suns46c134.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5676552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Hornets56c125$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7016555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Hornets55c123.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6823143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Hornets56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.231947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Suns56c112.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked Suns45c111.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.341752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Suns47c111.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8812552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hornets58c110$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.31,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…ee32backed Hornets55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608453.6%45 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Suns45c108.7$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7923349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hornets58c102.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3787744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Hornets41c100.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.075152.9%27 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Hornets54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5433949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Hornets54c99.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9914042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hornets55c99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.451,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Suns45c93.24$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2814355.2%79 W · 64 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Hornets55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Hornets57c87.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.871,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Hornets49c87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6318543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Hornets56c84.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4750351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Hornets55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4418446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Hornets55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4443544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed Hornets36c77.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.181662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Hornets43c76.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8510145.5%46 W · 55 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Hornets54c75.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6511652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbc…e924backed Suns52c66.76$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Suns52c62.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Hornets53c62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.861939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Hornets45c60.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.29553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Hornets55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3395260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Suns45c59.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.492,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…16b0backed Hornets55c54.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Hornets56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Hornets47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Hornets64c52.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Hornets54c50.18$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.164844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Hornets54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Suns52c46.75$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2727251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets45c44.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.845,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Hornets49c40.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9536154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.