TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hornets (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Hornets, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,523

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,523 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Suns54c83,066$44,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,334.731,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns53c18,870$9,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,904.662,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb59c…e255backed Hornets46c18,300$8,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,418250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd381…b3afbacked Hornets47c16,286$7,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,654.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca6e…6dfcbacked Hornets46c11,764$5,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,411.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Suns53c11,255$5,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,289.7133447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns53c11,063$5,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,180.294,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hornets46c9,712$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Hornets47c8,213$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.1131643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Hornets49c8,145$3,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99125248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Hornets46c7,829$3,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,62870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hornets46c7,685$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,53548546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hornets46c5,440$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.3638946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Hornets47c5,352$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.419445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa78…dfd1backed Hornets47c5,343$2,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,511.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Suns41c5,181$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.424,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Hornets46c5,155$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.232150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Suns51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45048845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hornets60c4,799$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.961,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Suns55c4,537$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,036.869531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Hornets47c4,002$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.0618749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets46c3,858$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hornets47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Suns54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.0848054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d8…9f3fbacked Hornets48c2,979$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4303240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Suns54c2,652$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.893,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets46c2,295$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Hornets46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets47c1,916$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.522,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns54c1,836$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.431,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Hornets47c1,596$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Hornets47c1,575$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.1571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Hornets47c1,574$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.958951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Suns55c1,449$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.149553.7%51 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.9287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Hornets46c1,299$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.278148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Hornets52c1,229$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.126550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Suns53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Hornets46c886.55$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8112045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Hornets40c860.22$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.921,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Suns54c848.98$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.2233146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets45c777$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.656,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Hornets46c767.34$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35334854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Suns53c754$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.3821443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Hornets47c669.3$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31549246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Hornets46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27628245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Suns54c599.96$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8622746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Suns52c543.02$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.6547651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns47c528.02$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.515,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Hornets46c426$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9662744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Hornets46c426$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9617644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Suns55c425.45$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4523550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…03fabacked Suns50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Suns53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18827052.6%142 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Suns55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.166645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Suns62c399.99$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8461957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets46c391.46$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdec…ec75backed Hornets58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012329.3%36 W · 87 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Suns56c320.04$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.532952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Suns53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0233554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Suns66c241.59$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.595858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Suns54c212.07$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.184,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b04…38b2backed Hornets48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Hornets49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Hornets48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9633360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7896…5a86backed Hornets53c189.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.71850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed Hornets49c179.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Hornets9c175$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2524334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets46c174.6$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.113,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Suns52c170.26$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Suns53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8195452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Hornets47c140.43$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Suns54c139.42$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Suns53c132.5$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2712552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Suns52c127.58$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.249558.9%56 W · 39 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Suns68c120.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.77536%27 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Suns59c114.89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8754853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1569…3c17backed Hornets57c114.59$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.793545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Suns56c112.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc093…de0ebacked Suns53c110.52$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.941752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Suns46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.735849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Hornets46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503727%10 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Suns48c104.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.791,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Hornets48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013843.5%60 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hornets48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e36…7f61backed Hornets50c101.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Suns55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Hornets47c99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.531,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Suns54c97.51$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.114046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74c…2413backed Suns52c96.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.932857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Suns54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5915547.1%73 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Suns54c90.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8223349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c0…427bbacked Hornets47c90$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.318446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Suns56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2917046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c0…d72dbacked Hornets57c87.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Hornets52c65.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9410050%50 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Suns50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Hornets46c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.453339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Hornets60c58.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5755751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.