TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Hornets, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,339,047

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,339,047 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Suns36c619,785$224,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394,964.6487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Hornets63c307,818$194,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,999.5448343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Suns37c167,675$62,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,182.612,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Hornets34c156,210$53,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,201.9716848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Suns38c140,000$52,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,400.3640446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hornets41c138,948$57,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,000.0566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Suns38c131,577$49,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,578.2143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Hornets64c121,055$77,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,47536549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Hornets63c95,000$59,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,849.965959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Suns37c91,985$33,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,990.431,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Hornets58c86,611$50,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,473.2434456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Hornets63c83,909$53,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,047.1651354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hornets64c72,733$46,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,497.982,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Suns38c71,047$26,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,049.0472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Hornets0c65,531$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.527211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets0c61,380$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.141,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a57…2afabacked Suns37c60,000$22,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,800.358944.9%40 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Suns37c55,406$20,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,906.012532%8 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea21…99ddbacked Hornets60c54,060$32,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,561.57656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hornets64c53,507$34,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,163.461,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hornets62c46,104$28,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,609.171,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Hornets63c41,385$25,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,875.9521549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Suns64c37,611$24,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,430.8796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Suns37c36,575$13,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,042.831,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Hornets20c35,110$6,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,885.061,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Suns60c35,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,999.995444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hornets63c33,199$20,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,915.51,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Suns42c32,129$13,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,556.8827251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Hornets64c31,251$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0004143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88b…5250backed Hornets63c30,000$18,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,900728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Hornets54c29,956$16,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,30010952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets63c29,594$18,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,618.384,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Suns30c28,548$8,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,956.2611737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Hornets64c26,563$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,000.323148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Suns37c26,473$9,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,678.8220947.8%100 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Hornets56c25,571$14,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,358.2438434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Hornets63c25,000$15,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,749.78939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Suns36c22,675$8,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,512.0754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Suns39c22,426$8,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,740.6324549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Hornets35c20,316$7,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,126.5293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Hornets55c20,216$11,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,119.0323147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…5688backed Hornets0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hornets62c18,577$11,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,571.374,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Suns37c17,639$6,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,067.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Suns74c17,571$13,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,570.449938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed Suns37c16,274$6,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,252.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Hornets63c15,873$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f28…9291backed Hornets65c15,385$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hornets47c15,368$7,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,282.021,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Hornets64c15,201$9,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,692.9937557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets63c15,069$9,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,430.99,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Suns37c15,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,450.245850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Suns37c14,966$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,480.8132540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hornets64c14,530$9,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,298.981,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…627bbacked Hornets59c14,489$8,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,593.457651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Suns37c14,001$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,820.542646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Hornets63c14,000$8,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,819.96943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Suns38c13,120$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,120.19531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Hornets43c12,903$5,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.942335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Suns34c12,742$4,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,424.7217246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47d…c0dcbacked Suns37c12,501$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,875.791040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Hornets63c12,500$7,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874.989054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Suns37c12,263$4,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,725.851,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Hornets62c12,158$7,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,479.7120454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Hornets62c11,937$7,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,400.936351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Suns39c11,934$4,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,252.691,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets64c11,718$7,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,446.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Hornets6c11,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Hornets57c10,526$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0009741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea7b…a34bbacked Hornets55c10,485$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8002958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Suns39c10,243$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,248.2319957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Suns37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Hornets64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,399.732039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Hornets42c9,783$4,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,112.0234136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets44c9,333$4,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,076.471,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d3…a655backed Hornets62c9,135$5,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,664520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Hornets63c9,000$5,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,67039842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Hornets64c8,913$5,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,704.5926444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6da8…7e40backed Hornets49c8,804$4,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,328.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Hornets63c8,700$5,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,48128554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Suns38c8,500$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,254.9839349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets51c8,457$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,274.815,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf67…eee6backed Suns36c8,250$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.935457.4%31 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Suns37c8,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,06087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb103…1745backed Suns72c7,549$5,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.586065%39 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Suns45c7,431$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,092.267848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Hornets62c7,394$4,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.4224744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Suns41c7,331$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,331.168838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Suns37c7,250$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,551.0365750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Suns66c6,952$4,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.476850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfe…7766backed Suns25c6,873$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,131.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+54%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets0c6,663$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.238820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hornets62c6,581$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08072450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Hornets62c6,519$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,041.9917144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hornets62c6,324$3,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,948.182,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8150…e7f1backed Hornets56c6,025$3,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3745632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Suns37c6,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,78058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Hornets57c5,995$3,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,417.0710352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets26c5,973$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.934,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Hornets62c5,955$3,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,692.125049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.