TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$162,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,015 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under50c17,752$8,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,875.8460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under52c15,496$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,496.2526648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c8,226$4,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,11337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c5,755$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,935.2821653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over49c5,060$2,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,485.9482442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c4,860$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,43041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under50c4,467$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,233.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c4,167$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.6738946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over51c3,730$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.345850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under50c3,500$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,75580737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over51c3,481$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76824847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c3,372$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.954,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under51c3,365$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.8148546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Under77c3,166$2,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.3817246.5%80 W · 92 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c2,153$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.291,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c2,086$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.862,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c1,573$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.51,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c1,549$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over26c1,441$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.7140243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over21c1,403$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.681,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over1c1,215$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c1,110$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.0965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c1,103$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c1,049$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.9834854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c910.16$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.273,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over51c866.47$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.923850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Over77c647$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.596872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.130452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c621.07$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.748,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c603.67$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c576.54$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.193,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under50c572$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28625452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under51c539.21$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.2133447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over50c524$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26218241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under49c515.54$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1821443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under50c514.02$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.157153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Over32c490.16$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.152924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over64c470.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under42c463.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.541,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over6c456.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3895452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over49c428.55$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21262347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over47c408.16$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8429245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under50c401.81$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over61c400.36$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2332952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926538.5%25 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over55c399.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21862844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa80…f251backed Over51c390.2$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b04…7377backed Under50c390$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…bc50backed Over51c390$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.91163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Under50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcad3…377fbacked Over51c388$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under52c385.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4425155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe251…3575backed Over51c356$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbdd…1d43backed Under50c356$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under51c355.03$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9641947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over51c354.38$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7354549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over50c328$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16415650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over34c302.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.81,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under39c299.66$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.153,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under35c286.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.243,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over34c277.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.692,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…c865backed Under68c277.94$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.867100%7 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7895…896cbacked Over50c276.66$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.334250%21 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under45c275.53$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.5353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.119054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under45c234.32$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.912,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Under73c231.78$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.911947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c211.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.061,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c201.55$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9001…5eadbacked Over32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under49c195.34$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6535843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f90…1fa8backed Over12c190.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under51c174.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2630453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b25…93ccbacked Over70c163.59$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Over19c156.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0512227%33 W · 89 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under51c146.14$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.291,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Under44c137.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under51c131$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1914144.7%63 W · 78 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under50c123.83$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over53c117.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.131,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Under24c108.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.328937.1%33 W · 56 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c107.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under33c105.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.877154.9%39 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under56c103.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.231,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over51c103$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6961939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under51c101.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5714053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under50c101$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.512552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5259650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5922850.9%116 W · 112 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.